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Seas of Evil 150630

Posted By: scotty
Date: Tuesday, 30 June 2015, at 10:31 p.m.

In Response To: Seas of Evil 150630 (svilo)

24/22 6/5 donning a life vest and hoping for the best in choppy waters :)

I think white will have a cube after we play our dice. White leads 3a4a, and if we drop the cube, white will lead 2a4a. At that score white will be hard pressed to take a cube from from blue, giving us a very good probability of finding ourselves 3a2a with about 40% MWC. Blue was at 42.3% MWC at the start of this game, and and is most certainly lower than 40% in this position. With that in mind, it looks like we want to avoid allowing white to become too good to double so our play should attempt to reduce gammons against.

play 24/22. This starts an advanced anchor and if we are hit elsewhere, we have to chance to make that anchor. Also, a checker on the 22 pt provides some coverage for blue's blot on the 17 point and might even give us a safe escape before white is able to strengthen her board further.

Diversify to prepare for a future home board point, 6/5.

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