[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Cube Action AtS

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Monday, 6 July 2015, at 8:13 p.m.

In Response To: Cube Action AtS (David Rockwell)

Does Marty have a take? If he takes and makes the mistake of auto recubing to 8 before his next roll, my OTB estimate is that he needs about 16% less a third of his g wins to take. I'll give him 6% g's here so the auto recube tp is about 14%. Since auto recubing isn't a good idea, his tp is a couple percent lower if he handles the recube more intelligently. So I'd go with a true tp of 12% OTB.

Dave has 5 jokers that complete the 6 prime which give Marty about 3% chances. On the other 31 numbers, I'll guess Marty wins 15%. That's 4.8 wins in 36 games which is about 14%. So it looks takeable between two even players.

Should David recube? I think so. You'll get lots of passes and it's a pretty efficient recube. The 5 market losers lose the mkt by a lot and they're of a repeating nature so I think there's enough volatility to send it over.

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.