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Rollouts

Posted By: Stick
Date: Saturday, 18 July 2015, at 2:28 a.m.

In Response To: Raise your hand if you would get this play right (I didn't) (phil simborg)

In the original position with the cube centered bar/18 is clearly correct. However, if we already owned the cube it would make quite the difference and make bar/18 a small error apparently.

Original





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 132
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 155
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=----BBBBa-A-eD-a-a-c-bb-AA:0:0:1:16:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 16

1.Rollout1Bar/18eq: -0.597
Player:
Opponent:
35.75% (G:8.29% B:0.43%)
64.25% (G:22.16% B:0.87%)
Conf.: ± 0.023 (-0.620...-0.574) - [100.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 32 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/24 13/7eq: -0.648 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:
33.80% (G:7.16% B:0.24%)
66.20% (G:13.93% B:0.67%)
Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.662...-0.634) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 41 seconds
1 648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 11769768
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.206.pre-release


Owning the cube





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 132
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 155
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=----BBBBa-A-eD-a-a-c-bb-AA:1:1:1:16:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 16

1.Rollout1Bar/24 13/7eq: -0.276
Player:
Opponent:
34.02% (G:7.47% B:0.30%)
65.98% (G:14.77% B:0.67%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.284...-0.269) - [93.3%]
Duration: 11 minutes 45 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/24 10/4eq: -0.285 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:
33.23% (G:7.50% B:0.22%)
66.77% (G:13.75% B:0.53%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.293...-0.277) - [6.7%]
Duration: 10 minutes 10 seconds
3.Rollout1Bar/18eq: -0.299 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:
35.68% (G:8.31% B:0.41%)
64.32% (G:22.01% B:0.92%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.307...-0.290) - [0.0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 39 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 11769768
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.206.pre-release

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