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Rollouts

Posted By: Maik Stiebler
Date: Monday, 20 July 2015, at 7:24 a.m.

In Response To: Rollouts (Bob Koca)

Here is a related triviality which I find somewhat surprising (and have never seen stated that way):

If your opponent has cube access, but can't cash after your play, your equity after your play can be computed as (your equity supposing you owned the cube on the next level) minus (the size of your opponent's hypothetical error on doubling you after your play, or zero if your opponent does have a correct double).

I.e. when you have a choice of plays that would be close if you owned the cube already, the one which brings your opponent closest to a correct double or, even better, a Wisecarver play, tends to be correct.

Messages In This Thread

• Raise your hand if you would get this play right (I didn't)
  phil simborg -- Wednesday, 15 July 2015, at 2:43 p.m.
  • Raise your hand if you would get this play right (I didn't)
    garyo -- Wednesday, 15 July 2015, at 2:58 p.m.
  • Raise your hand if you would get this play right (I didn't)
    Casper Van der Tak -- Wednesday, 15 July 2015, at 4:12 p.m.
  • Raise your hand if you would get this play right (I didn't)
    Igor -- Wednesday, 15 July 2015, at 4:45 p.m.
  • Raise your hand if you would get this play right (I didn't)
    Stick -- Wednesday, 15 July 2015, at 5:33 p.m.
    • Raise your hand if you would get this play right (I didn't)
      lenny -- Wednesday, 15 July 2015, at 11:21 p.m.
  • Raise your hand if you would get this play right (I didn't)
    David Rennie -- Wednesday, 15 July 2015, at 7:01 p.m.
  • Raise your hand if you would get this play right (I didn't)
    ah_clem -- Wednesday, 15 July 2015, at 7:11 p.m.
  • Raise your hand if you would get this play right (I didn't)
    RobertFontaine -- Wednesday, 15 July 2015, at 8:41 p.m.
  • Raise your hand if you would get this play right (I didn't)
    Joe Russell -- Thursday, 16 July 2015, at 5:26 a.m.
  • Rollouts
    Stick -- Saturday, 18 July 2015, at 2:28 a.m.
    • Rollouts
      Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 19 July 2015, at 4:46 p.m.
      • Rollouts
        David Rennie -- Sunday, 19 July 2015, at 5:17 p.m.
        • Rollouts
          Casper Van der Tak -- Sunday, 19 July 2015, at 5:32 p.m.
        • Rollouts
          Bob Koca -- Sunday, 19 July 2015, at 11:23 p.m.
          • Rollouts
            Stick -- Monday, 20 July 2015, at 12:13 a.m.
          • Rollouts
            Maik Stiebler -- Monday, 20 July 2015, at 7:24 a.m.
          • Rollouts
            David Rennie -- Monday, 20 July 2015, at 12:21 p.m.
            • Rollouts
              Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 21 July 2015, at 2:50 p.m.