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Bear off cube action

Posted By: Mochy
Date: Friday, 14 August 2015, at 4:58 p.m.

In Response To: Bear off cube action (Mochy)





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 41
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 45
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=--BBBCB------------d--cbd-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 81.92% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 81.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 18.08% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 18.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.638 +1.278
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.891 (-0.109)
Double/Take:+1.162 (+0.162)
Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

EPC for on roll is 53.1 and the other side is 59.0 (by XG).

John O'Hagen suggested to use pipples but it was a friendly money session (for not so friendly stakes) and I couldn't use more than 2 min on this one. I agree its accuracy and I sometimes use it for the very important and complex decision in the match play when I have time.

I used isight method (CPW method) which leads to a huge blunder. However I didn't use EPC approximation though. Thank you for the information !

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