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MatchGammon--A new and challenging variation

Posted By: Bob Koca
Date: Monday, 24 August 2015, at 3:39 a.m.

In Response To: MatchGammon--A new and challenging variation (Phil Simborg)

Suppose that you also got the first roll including possibility of a double. It would still be astonishingly bad. Your equity of about .28 x 2 = .56 means you would be losing about .44 per game.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 167
Unlimited Game
pip: 167
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-C---eE---c-e----B-:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 52.770% (G:14.761% B:0.657%) 52.762% (G:14.752% B:0.662%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 47.230% (G:12.111% B:0.491%) 47.238% (G:12.069% B:0.494%)
Cubeless Equities +0.0836 +0.1675
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.2804
Redouble/Take:-0.1797 (-0.4600)
Redouble/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.7196)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 28.1%

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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