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Making the best of a bad position

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Saturday, 29 August 2015, at 1:20 a.m.

In Response To: Making the best of a bad position (Timothy Chow)

According to the rollouts below, the DMP play (24/16) is best for money but loses too many gammons ATS.

		White is Player 2 score: 3 pip: 107 7 point match pip: 136 score: 4 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-AB-CBB-----bB---dcbb-bAB-:1:1:1:53:4:3:0:7:10
Blue to play 53

1.	Rollout1	13/10 13/8	eq: -1.073
	Player: Opponent: 14.65% (G:1.44% B:0.08%) 85.35% (G:21.56% B:4.17%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (-1.079...-1.067) - [100.0%] Duration: 6 minutes 53 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/8 4/1	eq: -1.119 (-0.045)
	Player: Opponent: 15.62% (G:1.66% B:0.06%) 84.38% (G:25.13% B:5.99%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-1.125...-1.112) - [0.0%] Duration: 6 minutes 34 seconds
3.	Rollout1	6/3 6/1	eq: -1.124 (-0.050)
	Player: Opponent: 16.30% (G:2.41% B:0.09%) 83.70% (G:26.22% B:6.02%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-1.131...-1.117) - [0.0%] Duration: 6 minutes 45 seconds
4.	Rollout1	24/16	eq: -1.139 (-0.066)
	Player: Opponent: 20.07% (G:4.01% B:0.29%) 79.93% (G:32.46% B:5.09%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (-1.147...-1.132) - [0.0%] Duration: 9 minutes 31 seconds
5.	Rollout1	13/5	eq: -1.140 (-0.067)
	Player: Opponent: 16.51% (G:2.00% B:0.30%) 83.49% (G:27.44% B:7.39%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-1.147...-1.133) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 40 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 271828 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

---

Unlimited:

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 107 Unlimited Game pip: 136 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-AB-CBB-----bB---dcbb-bAB-:1:1:1:53:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 53

1.	Rollout1	24/16	eq: -0.837
	Player: Opponent: 18.90% (G:3.24% B:0.08%) 81.10% (G:30.33% B:1.63%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.844...-0.830) - [100.0%] Duration: 7 minutes 47 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/10 13/8	eq: -0.881 (-0.044)
	Player: Opponent: 14.40% (G:1.21% B:0.03%) 85.60% (G:21.67% B:1.32%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.887...-0.875) - [0.0%] Duration: 7 minutes 08 seconds
3.	Rollout1	13/8 4/1	eq: -0.901 (-0.064)
	Player: Opponent: 15.23% (G:1.28% B:0.01%) 84.77% (G:25.54% B:1.76%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.906...-0.895) - [0.0%] Duration: 6 minutes 44 seconds
4.	Rollout1	6/3 6/1	eq: -0.904 (-0.067)
	Player: Opponent: 14.29% (G:1.14% B:0.01%) 85.71% (G:23.81% B:1.67%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.910...-0.897) - [0.0%] Duration: 6 minutes 12 seconds
5.	Rollout1	13/5	eq: -0.912 (-0.075)
	Player: Opponent: 15.20% (G:1.21% B:0.02%) 84.80% (G:26.29% B:1.96%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.918...-0.905) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 18 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 271828 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release

Messages In This Thread

• Making the best of a bad position
  Timothy Chow -- Friday, 28 August 2015, at 12:05 a.m.
  • Making the best of a bad position
    alex21 -- Friday, 28 August 2015, at 12:19 a.m.
  • Making the best of a bad position
    Karol Szczerek -- Friday, 28 August 2015, at 6:10 a.m.
  • Making the best of a bad position
    Chase -- Friday, 28 August 2015, at 2:57 p.m.
  • Making the best of a bad position
    Wolfgang -- Friday, 28 August 2015, at 11:21 p.m.
  • Making the best of a bad position
    scotty -- Saturday, 29 August 2015, at 12:15 a.m.
  • Making the best of a bad position
    Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 29 August 2015, at 1:20 a.m.