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Making the best of a bad position

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Saturday, 29 August 2015, at 1:20 a.m.

In Response To: Making the best of a bad position (Timothy Chow)

According to the rollouts below, the DMP play (24/16) is best for money but loses too many gammons ATS.





White is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 107
7 point match
pip: 136
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-AB-CBB-----bB---dcbb-bAB-:1:1:1:53:4:3:0:7:10
Blue to play 53

1.Rollout113/10 13/8eq: -1.073
Player:
Opponent:
14.65% (G:1.44% B:0.08%)
85.35% (G:21.56% B:4.17%)
Conf.: 0.006 (-1.079...-1.067) - [100.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 53 seconds
2.Rollout113/8 4/1eq: -1.119 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:
15.62% (G:1.66% B:0.06%)
84.38% (G:25.13% B:5.99%)
Conf.: 0.007 (-1.125...-1.112) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 34 seconds
3.Rollout16/3 6/1eq: -1.124 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:
16.30% (G:2.41% B:0.09%)
83.70% (G:26.22% B:6.02%)
Conf.: 0.007 (-1.131...-1.117) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 45 seconds
4.Rollout124/16eq: -1.139 (-0.066)
Player:
Opponent:
20.07% (G:4.01% B:0.29%)
79.93% (G:32.46% B:5.09%)
Conf.: 0.008 (-1.147...-1.132) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 31 seconds
5.Rollout113/5eq: -1.140 (-0.067)
Player:
Opponent:
16.51% (G:2.00% B:0.30%)
83.49% (G:27.44% B:7.39%)
Conf.: 0.007 (-1.147...-1.133) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 40 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2


Unlimited:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 107
Unlimited Game
pip: 136
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-AB-CBB-----bB---dcbb-bAB-:1:1:1:53:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 53

1.Rollout124/16eq: -0.837
Player:
Opponent:
18.90% (G:3.24% B:0.08%)
81.10% (G:30.33% B:1.63%)
Conf.: 0.007 (-0.844...-0.830) - [100.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 47 seconds
2.Rollout113/10 13/8eq: -0.881 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent:
14.40% (G:1.21% B:0.03%)
85.60% (G:21.67% B:1.32%)
Conf.: 0.006 (-0.887...-0.875) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 08 seconds
3.Rollout113/8 4/1eq: -0.901 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:
15.23% (G:1.28% B:0.01%)
84.77% (G:25.54% B:1.76%)
Conf.: 0.006 (-0.906...-0.895) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 44 seconds
4.Rollout16/3 6/1eq: -0.904 (-0.067)
Player:
Opponent:
14.29% (G:1.14% B:0.01%)
85.71% (G:23.81% B:1.67%)
Conf.: 0.006 (-0.910...-0.897) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 12 seconds
5.Rollout113/5eq: -0.912 (-0.075)
Player:
Opponent:
15.20% (G:1.21% B:0.02%)
84.80% (G:26.29% B:1.96%)
Conf.: 0.007 (-0.918...-0.905) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 18 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release

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