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*Rollout* - 54 to play at DMP

Posted By: Chase
Date: Sunday, 30 August 2015, at 3:22 a.m.

In Response To: 54 to play at DMP (Chase)

Making the 9pt looked too passive to me. XG's play (14/9 11/7*) looked too loose. I tried to find a balance between return shots, blots, and follow-up and settled on 13/8 11/7*. In retrospect, the spare on the 8pt with an already made 2pt isn't so helpful. Had I noticed that over the board, perhaps I'd have found the right play.

Question: I'm on a newer/faster system than I was the last time I did rollouts. Are these rollout settings reasonable for most things, or should I be using something stronger?





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 130
1 point match
pip: 135
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--B-BaCaB--B-AA-bbdeB-----:0:0:1:54:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 54

1.Rollout114/9 11/7* eq: +0.230
Player:
Opponent:
61.52% (G:23.62% B:1.29%)
38.48% (G:7.84% B:0.63%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.226...+0.235) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 59 seconds
2.Rollout114/5* eq: +0.208 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:
60.39% (G:23.52% B:1.43%)
39.61% (G:7.86% B:0.57%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.203...+0.212) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 55 seconds
3.Rollout114/9 13/9eq: +0.206 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:
60.32% (G:15.00% B:0.78%)
39.68% (G:4.61% B:0.36%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.202...+0.211) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 48 seconds
4.Rollout111/6 11/7* eq: +0.191 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:
59.56% (G:21.18% B:0.97%)
40.44% (G:6.88% B:0.64%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.187...+0.196) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 57 seconds
5.Rollout113/8 11/7* eq: +0.178 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:
58.92% (G:22.54% B:1.08%)
41.08% (G:7.43% B:0.39%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.174...+0.183) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 51 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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