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AtS Recube Action

Posted By: Sean Garber
Date: Tuesday, 1 September 2015, at 9:39 p.m.

In Response To: AtS Recube Action (Stick)

QF says this has to be a double, but really? 3 hitters? There is no way that I would double this otb. Let us try to justify a double. Give blue 40% gammons after a hit. Blue will gain about 21% match equity on average or so by doubling before the roll if blue rolls one of the 3 hitters. Blue loses 10% more match equity with a loss on a 4 cube compared to a loss on a 2 cube. If blue rolls one of the 33 nonhitters, blue still looks to be about 50% to win the game or so on average. Putting all this together the best I can, I still can't justify a double. No double/Take is my official answer.

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