There's been some good analysis of this position posted already, but here are my rollouts. I was surprised that 13/7(2) was the bot play here. It didn't strike me as being particularly gammonish.
         
 
         
 | | White is Player 2
score: 4
pip: 149 | | 7 point match | pip: 163
score: 3
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-a---BD-B---dEa--d-e----B-:0:0:1:33:3:4:0:7:10 |
| Blue to play 33 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 13/7(2) | eq: +0.532 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 55.97% (G:18.49% B:1.33%)
44.03% (G:12.25% B:1.77%) | Conf.: ± 0.019 (+0.513...+0.550) - [100.0%]
Duration: 21 minutes 52 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/21(2) 13/10(2) | eq: +0.484 (-0.048) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 56.06% (G:15.81% B:0.94%)
43.94% (G:8.33% B:0.83%) | Conf.: ± 0.018 (+0.467...+0.502) - [0.0%]
Duration: 22 minutes 53 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 24/21(2) 6/3(2) | eq: +0.433 (-0.099) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 55.40% (G:15.17% B:0.78%)
44.60% (G:7.52% B:0.64%) | Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.417...+0.449) - [0.0%]
Duration: 22 minutes 43 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2
Unlimited:
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 149 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 163
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-a---BD-B---dEa--d-e----B-:0:0:1:33:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 33 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/21(2) 13/10(2) | eq: +0.306 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 56.53% (G:14.92% B:0.42%)
43.47% (G:6.94% B:0.28%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.292...+0.319) - [100.0%]
Duration: 25 minutes 45 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/21(2) 6/3(2) | eq: +0.268 (-0.038) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 55.73% (G:14.28% B:0.37%)
44.27% (G:6.57% B:0.21%) | Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.256...+0.280) - [0.0%]
Duration: 25 minutes 50 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 13/7(2) | eq: +0.267 (-0.038) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 56.01% (G:17.87% B:0.63%)
43.99% (G:11.05% B:0.61%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.253...+0.282) - [0.0%]
Duration: 23 minutes 51 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release