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OTB & RO

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Saturday, 5 September 2015, at 5:44 p.m.

In Response To: 63 for White (John O'Hagan)

OTB I ran out 24/15 and that is clearly correct. The trailer's 2 cube gammon value is .46 ATS which is slightly below the normal 1/2. Running is clearly the DMP play so the only question is if the ratio of extra wins/extra gammon losses is close to 1/2. It's actually > 1.0 so the decision isn't close.

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 101
3 point match
pip: 125
score: 1

is Player 1
XGID=-aaBB-CCC----------ccbcbB-:1:1:1:63:1:0:0:3:10
to play 63

1.Rollout124/15eq: -0.327
Player:
Opponent:		46.46% (G:9.54% B:0.78%)
53.54% (G:26.93% B:0.98%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.332...-0.323) - [100.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 07 seconds
2.Rollout124/18 7/4eq: -0.390 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:		43.27% (G:7.85% B:0.81%)
56.73% (G:26.77% B:0.94%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.394...-0.385) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 56 seconds
3.Rollout18/2* 7/4eq: -0.405 (-0.077)
Player:
Opponent:		39.72% (G:6.84% B:0.32%)
60.28% (G:20.92% B:5.66%)		Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.410...-0.399) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 10 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00, MET: Kazaross XG2

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