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My pet peeve...

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Monday, 7 September 2015, at 7:05 p.m.

In Response To: Money game cube action (tuvi)

...is people who post quiz positions but don't follow up with bot info.

Here's a rollout for tuvi's position and a variant of tuvi's position.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 117
Unlimited Game
pip: 98
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aBBB-CB-A---c-B--b-bbbbAa-:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 69.94% (G:30.67% B:0.14%) 70.21% (G:31.45% B:0.15%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 30.06% (G:4.89% B:0.23%) 29.79% (G:5.28% B:0.25%)
Cubeless Equities +0.656 +1.330
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.795 (-0.205)±0.009 (+0.786..+0.804)
Double/Take:+1.102 (+0.102)±0.013 (+1.089..+1.115)
Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 10 minutes 19 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release

Variant:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 122
Unlimited Game
pip: 98
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aBBB-CB-A---c-B--b-cbbbA--:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 66.00% (G:27.86% B:0.06%) 66.20% (G:28.70% B:0.05%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 34.00% (G:5.71% B:0.31%) 33.80% (G:5.92% B:0.34%)
Cubeless Equities +0.539 +1.098
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.678 (-0.176)±0.010 (+0.668..+0.689)
Double/Take:+0.854±0.014 (+0.840..+0.869)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.146)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 14 minutes 05 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release

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