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*Rollout*

Posted By: Chase
Date: Saturday, 12 September 2015, at 5:32 a.m.

In Response To: Stubbed my toe on this one (Chase)

Over the board, I was looking to increase pressure on Brown without giving him too much to shoot at, so I thought splitting to the 21pt was sufficient (rather than the 20 or 18). This also allowed me to play 13/8 with the 5, retaining and reinforcing my stripped 8pt. To be honest, this still seems like sound reasoning to me.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 155
1 point match
pip: 178
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----E-BA-adDa--c-e---AB-:0:0:1:53:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 53

1.Rollout123/18 13/10eq: -0.147
Player:
Opponent:
42.66% (G:12.52% B:1.40%)
57.34% (G:25.69% B:5.48%)
Conf.: 0.002 (-0.148...-0.145) - [99.9%]
Duration: 1 hour 53 minutes
2.Rollout18/3 6/3eq: -0.151 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:
42.47% (G:13.27% B:1.36%)
57.53% (G:23.28% B:4.20%)
Conf.: 0.001 (-0.152...-0.149) - [0.1%]
Duration: 1 hour 33 minutes
3.Rollout213/5eq: -0.160 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:
41.99% (G:11.19% B:1.82%)
58.01% (G:25.50% B:5.52%)
Conf.: 0.006 (-0.167...-0.154) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 43 seconds
4.Rollout223/20 13/8eq: -0.164 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:
41.81% (G:12.81% B:1.20%)
58.19% (G:24.19% B:5.45%)
Conf.: 0.007 (-0.170...-0.157) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 42 seconds
5.Rollout224/21 13/8eq: -0.173 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:
41.33% (G:11.61% B:0.98%)
58.67% (G:24.48% B:4.14%)
Conf.: 0.006 (-0.179...-0.167) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 24 seconds
6.Rollout224/21 6/1* eq: -0.178 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:
41.11% (G:12.78% B:0.79%)
58.89% (G:25.93% B:4.01%)
Conf.: 0.006 (-0.184...-0.171) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 43 seconds
1 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

The five rolls leading up to this positions were: 32-43-54-21-65, each pair made up of one die that is one pip more than its mate.

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