Over the board, I was looking to increase pressure on Brown without giving him too much to shoot at, so I thought splitting to the 21pt was sufficient (rather than the 20 or 18). This also allowed me to play 13/8 with the 5, retaining and reinforcing my stripped 8pt. To be honest, this still seems like sound reasoning to me.
          
 
         
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 155 | | 1 point match | pip: 178
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-a----E-BA-adDa--c-e---AB-:0:0:1:53:0:0:0:1:10 |
| Blue to play 53 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 23/18 13/10 | eq: -0.147 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 42.66% (G:12.52% B:1.40%)
57.34% (G:25.69% B:5.48%) | Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.148...-0.145) - [99.9%]
Duration: 1 hour 53 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 8/3 6/3 | eq: -0.151 (-0.004) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 42.47% (G:13.27% B:1.36%)
57.53% (G:23.28% B:4.20%) | Conf.: ± 0.001 (-0.152...-0.149) - [0.1%]
Duration: 1 hour 33 minutes |
|
| 3. | Rollout2 | 13/5 | eq: -0.160 (-0.013) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 41.99% (G:11.19% B:1.82%)
58.01% (G:25.50% B:5.52%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.167...-0.154) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 43 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout2 | 23/20 13/8 | eq: -0.164 (-0.017) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 41.81% (G:12.81% B:1.20%)
58.19% (G:24.19% B:5.45%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.170...-0.157) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 42 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout2 | 24/21 13/8 | eq: -0.173 (-0.027) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 41.33% (G:11.61% B:0.98%)
58.67% (G:24.48% B:4.14%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.179...-0.167) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 24 seconds |
|
| 6. | Rollout2 | 24/21 6/1* | eq: -0.178 (-0.031) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 41.11% (G:12.78% B:0.79%)
58.89% (G:25.93% B:4.01%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.184...-0.171) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 43 seconds |
|
| |
1 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2
The five rolls leading up to this positions were: 32-43-54-21-65, each pair made up of one die that is one pip more than its mate.