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Three variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Saturday, 19 September 2015, at 10:48 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout (Timothy Chow)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 126
Unlimited Game
pip: 129
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a--bCBCAAB--A----b-bccB-b-:1:-1:1:64:0:0:0:0:10

Original Position


1.Rollout112/8 7/1eq: +0.301
Player:
Opponent:
66.47% (G:18.32% B:0.76%)
33.53% (G:9.55% B:0.26%)
Conf.: � 0.009 (+0.292...+0.310) - [100.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 06 seconds
2.Rollout18/2 6/2eq: +0.175 (-0.126)
Player:
Opponent:
63.08% (G:15.99% B:0.66%)
36.92% (G:11.33% B:0.40%)
Conf.: � 0.010 (+0.165...+0.185) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 16 seconds
3.Rollout122/16 12/8eq: +0.137 (-0.164)
Player:
Opponent:
63.87% (G:16.04% B:0.73%)
36.13% (G:17.10% B:0.62%)
Conf.: � 0.011 (+0.126...+0.148) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 13 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Tim's rollout of his original position is above.

Below are three variants.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 129
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 129
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a--bCBCAAB--A----b-bcdB-a-:1:-1:1:64:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1

1.Rollout122/16 12/8eq: +0.383
Player:
Opponent:
69.69% (G:20.10% B:1.08%)
30.31% (G:11.21% B:0.46%)
Conf.: กำ 0.005 (+0.378...+0.388) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 11 minutes
2.Rollout112/8 7/1eq: +0.348 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:
68.09% (G:18.20% B:0.71%)
31.91% (G:8.57% B:0.26%)
Conf.: กำ 0.005 (+0.344...+0.353) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 05 minutes
3.Rollout18/2 6/2eq: +0.330 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:
67.39% (G:18.51% B:0.83%)
32.61% (G:8.98% B:0.38%)
Conf.: กำ 0.004 (+0.326...+0.334) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 02 minutes
 
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 131
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 129
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a--bCBCAAB--A-a---bbcbB-b-:1:-1:1:64:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2

1.Rollout122/16 12/8eq: +0.221
Player:
Opponent:
65.85% (G:16.03% B:0.70%)
34.15% (G:13.69% B:0.50%)
Conf.: กำ 0.004 (+0.217...+0.225) - [56.5%]
Duration: 2 hours 20 minutes
2.Rollout112/8 7/1eq: +0.221 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:
63.98% (G:16.89% B:0.67%)
36.02% (G:10.40% B:0.29%)
Conf.: กำ 0.003 (+0.218...+0.224) - [43.5%]
Duration: 2 hours 26 minutes
3.Rollout28/2 6/2eq: +0.199 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:
63.10% (G:17.84% B:0.69%)
36.90% (G:10.75% B:0.36%)
Conf.: กำ 0.004 (+0.195...+0.203) - [0.0%]
Duration: 53 minutes 08 seconds
 
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 126
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 129
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a--bCBCAAB--A----b-bccB-b-:1:-1:1:14:0:0:3:0:10

Variant 3


1.Rollout122/18 8/7eq: +0.447
Player:
Opponent:
72.95% (G:16.46% B:0.79%)
27.05% (G:9.12% B:0.27%)
Conf.: กำ 0.008 (+0.439...+0.455) - [100.0%]
Duration: 23 minutes 47 seconds
2.Rollout112/8 7/6eq: +0.380 (-0.067)
Player:
Opponent:
69.60% (G:16.92% B:0.69%)
30.40% (G:7.83% B:0.21%)
Conf.: กำ 0.008 (+0.372...+0.388) - [0.0%]
Duration: 22 minutes 00 second
3.Rollout112/7eq: +0.359 (-0.088)
Player:
Opponent:
68.99% (G:16.30% B:0.70%)
31.01% (G:8.00% B:0.21%)
Conf.: กำ 0.008 (+0.351...+0.366) - [0.0%]
Duration: 21 minutes 47 seconds
4.Rollout18/7 6/2eq: +0.331 (-0.115)
Player:
Opponent:
68.04% (G:17.94% B:0.78%)
31.96% (G:10.30% B:0.27%)
Conf.: กำ 0.010 (+0.322...+0.341) - [0.0%]
Duration: 23 minutes 21 seconds
5.Rollout112/8 6/5eq: +0.302 (-0.145)
Player:
Opponent:
66.78% (G:17.15% B:0.62%)
33.22% (G:9.20% B:0.25%)
Conf.: กำ 0.009 (+0.293...+0.310) - [0.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 42 seconds
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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