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Rollout

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Wednesday, 23 September 2015, at 2:17 a.m.

In Response To: No QF here either (Timothy Chow)

The QF play is 8/5 6/4, but there's no QF, so that can't be right, can it? :-) (ah_clem suggests that it's the DMP play but I didn't roll that out.)

Making the 5pt is of course a candidate but it does leave quite a few hit-and-cover rolls and the resulting distribution isn't great.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 146
Unlimited Game
pip: 128
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--Bc--DBCB------cb-ccaB---:0:0:1:32:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 32

1.Rollout16/1eq: -0.165
Player:
Opponent:
46.39% (G:11.20% B:0.34%)
53.61% (G:15.50% B:0.53%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.172...-0.158) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 03 minutes
2.Rollout18/5 6/4eq: -0.197 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:
46.19% (G:12.10% B:0.48%)
53.81% (G:17.41% B:0.82%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.205...-0.190) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 00 minute
3.Rollout18/5 7/5eq: -0.215 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:
44.46% (G:12.81% B:0.44%)
55.54% (G:15.11% B:0.59%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.224...-0.205) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 02 minutes
4.Rollout27/4 6/4eq: -0.247 (-0.082)
Player:
Opponent:
43.92% (G:11.42% B:0.38%)
56.08% (G:14.96% B:0.58%)
Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.261...-0.233) - [0.0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 33 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release

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