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How does one estimate opponent gammons OTB here?

Posted By: svilo
Date: Friday, 25 September 2015, at 10:28 p.m.

In Response To: How about gammons... (svilo)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 116
7 point match
pip: 65
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--EbCCB-B---a-a--a-bbbbb--:1:-1:1:21:0:0:0:7:10
Blue to play 21

1.XG Roller++6/5 6/4eq: +0.511
Player:
Opponent:
76.20% (G:4.34% B:0.04%)
23.80% (G:1.23% B:0.03%)
2.XG Roller++4/1eq: +0.497 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:
76.29% (G:4.31% B:0.03%)
23.71% (G:2.09% B:0.05%)
3.XG Roller++5/2eq: +0.476 (-0.035)
Player:
Opponent:
75.65% (G:3.93% B:0.03%)
24.35% (G:2.37% B:0.07%)
4.2-ply8/7 8/6eq: +0.258 (-0.252)
Player:
Opponent:
65.64% (G:5.12% B:0.07%)
34.36% (G:1.75% B:0.04%)
5.1-ply8/6 2/1eq: +0.139 (-0.372)
Player:
Opponent:
61.61% (G:6.61% B:0.07%)
38.39% (G:2.69% B:0.04%)

It turned out both top plays in practice win single and gammons eqaually, BUT the opponent wins nearly a whole percent more gammons with one of them...

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

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