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Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Saturday, 26 September 2015, at 11:07 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout (Timothy Chow)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 129
Unlimited Game
pip: 135
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--AB-CC----abDab-bbcbB----:0:0:1:52:0:0:0:0:10

Original Position


1.Rollout121/16 13/11* eq: -0.184
Player:
Opponent:		44.03% (G:16.63% B:0.54%)
55.97% (G:19.06% B:1.55%)		Conf.: � 0.012 (-0.196...-0.172) - [100.0%]
Duration: 18 minutes 51 seconds
2.Rollout121/14* eq: -0.251 (-0.067)
Player:
Opponent:		42.19% (G:16.82% B:0.46%)
57.81% (G:15.55% B:0.78%)		Conf.: � 0.014 (-0.265...-0.236) - [0.0%]
Duration: 18 minutes 39 seconds
3.Rollout113/8 13/11* eq: -0.280 (-0.097)
Player:
Opponent:		40.53% (G:14.25% B:0.27%)
59.47% (G:10.63% B:0.48%)		Conf.: � 0.012 (-0.293...-0.268) - [0.0%]
Duration: 17 minutes 41 seconds
4.Rollout113/11* 11/6eq: -0.381 (-0.197)
Player:
Opponent:		38.16% (G:11.74% B:0.21%)
61.84% (G:8.70% B:0.37%)		Conf.: � 0.013 (-0.393...-0.368) - [0.0%]
Duration: 19 minutes 13 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Tim's rollout of his original position.

Below are two variant positions. The first is contrasting (though with the same pipcount). The second is a three-way tie.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 129
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 135
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--AB-CC----abDab-c-dbB----:0:0:1:52:0:0:3:0:10

Variant 1


1.Rollout113/8 13/11* eq: +0.139
Player:
Opponent:		50.68% (G:19.84% B:0.35%)
49.32% (G:10.23% B:0.50%)		Conf.: กำ 0.016 (+0.123...+0.155) - [100.0%]
Duration: 23 minutes 43 seconds
2.Rollout121/16 13/11* eq: +0.094 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		50.23% (G:19.46% B:0.70%)
49.77% (G:17.28% B:1.29%)		Conf.: กำ 0.014 (+0.080...+0.108) - [0.0%]
Duration: 22 minutes 25 seconds
3.Rollout121/14* eq: +0.070 (-0.069)
Player:
Opponent:		49.60% (G:20.90% B:0.78%)
50.40% (G:15.38% B:0.80%)		Conf.: กำ 0.012 (+0.059...+0.082) - [0.0%]
Duration: 19 minutes 52 seconds
4.Rollout113/11* 11/6eq: +0.014 (-0.125)
Player:
Opponent:		48.27% (G:17.19% B:0.38%)
51.73% (G:8.51% B:0.41%)		Conf.: กำ 0.015 (0.000...+0.029) - [0.0%]
Duration: 24 minutes 26 seconds
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 125
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 135
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--AB-CC----abDab-bbc-Bb---:0:0:1:25:0:0:3:0:10

Variant 2


1.Rollout113/8 13/11* eq: +0.061
Player:
Opponent:		48.95% (G:19.66% B:0.43%)
51.05% (G:10.62% B:0.54%)		Conf.: กำ 0.005 (+0.056...+0.066) - [67.4%]
Duration: 5 hours 13 minutes
2.Rollout121/16 13/11* eq: +0.060 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		48.96% (G:19.84% B:0.78%)
51.04% (G:18.73% B:1.48%)		Conf.: กำ 0.005 (+0.055...+0.064) - [32.3%]
Duration: 4 hours 45 minutes
3.Rollout221/14* eq: +0.053 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		48.99% (G:19.41% B:0.55%)
51.01% (G:15.03% B:0.77%)		Conf.: กำ 0.005 (+0.047...+0.058) - [0.3%]
Duration: 2 hours 00 minute
4.Rollout313/11* 11/6eq: -0.031 (-0.092)
Player:
Opponent:		46.40% (G:16.98% B:0.34%)
53.60% (G:8.37% B:0.40%)		Conf.: กำ 0.015 (-0.046...-0.016) - [0.0%]
Duration: 28 minutes 34 seconds
 
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

3 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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