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41$-31H-43-d *Rollout*

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Monday, 28 September 2015, at 1:09 a.m.

In Response To: 41$-41U-43-d *Rollout* (Chase)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 162
1 point match
pip: 182
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--a--aD-CA--eD---c-e----BA:0:0:1:43:0:0:0:1:10

41$-41U-43


1.Rollout1Bar/22 13/9eq: -0.044
Player:
Opponent:
47.81% (G:13.94% B:1.46%)
52.19% (G:19.44% B:2.84%)
Conf.: � 0.001 (-0.045...-0.043) - [100.0%]
Duration: 7 hours 00 minute
2.Rollout1Bar/22 9/5* eq: -0.046 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:
47.70% (G:14.46% B:1.61%)
52.30% (G:21.90% B:3.73%)
Conf.: � 0.001 (-0.047...-0.045) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 hours 17 minutes
3.Rollout2Bar/21 8/5* eq: -0.050 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:
47.49% (G:14.13% B:1.76%)
52.51% (G:23.40% B:4.61%)
Conf.: � 0.002 (-0.052...-0.048) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 19 minutes
4.Rollout3Bar/21 24/21eq: -0.059 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:
47.05% (G:12.69% B:1.37%)
52.95% (G:20.11% B:2.08%)
Conf.: � 0.002 (-0.061...-0.057) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 02 minutes
1 82944 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 96577511
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 96577511
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

3 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 96577511
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Chase's DMP rollout of 41$-41U-43.

Below is my DMP rollout of 41$-31H-43 (1-pip difference). The four candidate plays are ranked in the exact opposite order.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 163
1 point match
pip: 182
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---aD-CA--eD---c-e----BA:0:0:1:43:0:0:0:1:10

41$-31H-43


1.Rollout1Bar/21 24/21eq: -0.042
Player:
Opponent:
47.92% (G:12.97% B:1.58%)
52.08% (G:19.10% B:2.11%)
Conf.: กำ 0.002 (-0.044...-0.039) - [78.3%]
Duration: 6 hours 45 minutes
2.Rollout1Bar/21 8/5* eq: -0.043 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:
47.85% (G:13.33% B:1.76%)
52.15% (G:22.02% B:4.52%)
Conf.: กำ 0.003 (-0.045...-0.040) - [20.8%]
Duration: 7 hours 23 minutes
3.Rollout2Bar/22 9/5* eq: -0.046 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:
47.69% (G:13.28% B:1.68%)
52.31% (G:20.69% B:3.67%)
Conf.: กำ 0.003 (-0.050...-0.043) - [0.7%]
Duration: 4 hours 20 minutes
4.Rollout2Bar/22 13/9eq: -0.047 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:
47.66% (G:12.76% B:1.48%)
52.34% (G:18.24% B:2.76%)
Conf.: กำ 0.003 (-0.050...-0.044) - [0.1%]
Duration: 3 hours 43 minutes
 
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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