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Tied Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Friday, 2 October 2015, at 7:15 p.m.

In Response To: Results XG++ : whats the best play here 2 ? (Konstantin)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 159 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 113 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aaBABBB-B---bCb--d-e-A----:1:-1:1:61:0:0:3:0:10
Original Position: Blue to play 61

1.	XG Roller++	8/1*	eq: +0,978
	Player: Opponent: 77,63% (G:54,51% B:0,97%) 22,37% (G:4,71% B:0,24%)
2.	XG Roller++	13/7 8/7	eq: +0,943 (-0,035)
	Player: Opponent: 78,56% (G:47,11% B:1,58%) 21,44% (G:3,66% B:0,17%)
3.	XG Roller++	13/6	eq: +0,927 (-0,051)
	Player: Opponent: 78,05% (G:46,29% B:1,81%) 21,95% (G:3,50% B:0,15%)
4.	3-ply	21/15 3/2	eq: +0,899 (-0,080)
	Player: Opponent: 79,26% (G:40,34% B:1,14%) 20,74% (G:2,71% B:0,10%)
5.	3-ply	13/7 3/2	eq: +0,876 (-0,102)
	Player: Opponent: 76,31% (G:45,94% B:1,31%) 23,69% (G:3,74% B:0,18%)

The XGR++ evaluation of Konstantin's original position is shown above.

Below are two variants. When White is given a point on either end of her board, Blue's hitting play drops to a tie.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 147 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 113 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aaBABBB-B---bCb--c-d-A--b-:1:-1:1:61:0:0:3:0:10
White owns 1pt [P=A O21 E45 N55] "<=12*5

1.	Rollout1	13/7 8/7	eq: +0.914
	Player: Opponent: 79.54% (G:44.39% B:1.34%) 20.46% (G:5.17% B:0.20%) Conf.: กำ 0.002 (+0.912...+0.916) - [50.0%] Duration: 3 hours 15 minutes
2.	Rollout1	8/1*	eq: +0.914
	Player: Opponent: 77.10% (G:52.37% B:0.84%) 22.90% (G:6.71% B:0.34%) Conf.: กำ 0.002 (+0.911...+0.916) - [50.0%] Duration: 3 hours 05 minutes
3.	Rollout2	13/6	eq: +0.893 (-0.021)
	Player: Opponent: 78.73% (G:43.68% B:1.50%) 21.27% (G:5.04% B:0.16%) Conf.: กำ 0.004 (+0.890...+0.897) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 04 minutes
4.	Rollout2	21/15 3/2	eq: +0.869 (-0.045)
	Player: Opponent: 79.90% (G:37.50% B:1.10%) 20.10% (G:3.75% B:0.15%) Conf.: กำ 0.003 (+0.866...+0.873) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 09 minutes
5.	Rollout2	13/7 3/2	eq: +0.859 (-0.055)
	Player: Opponent: 77.22% (G:44.25% B:1.30%) 22.78% (G:4.87% B:0.22%) Conf.: กำ 0.004 (+0.856...+0.863) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 03 minutes
1 12960 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 153 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 113 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aaBABBB-B---bCb--b-ebA----:1:-1:1:61:0:0:3:0:10
White owns 5pt [P=A E7 O21 N81] "<=10*5*1

1.	Rollout1	13/7 8/7	eq: +0.778
	Player: Opponent: 74.86% (G:42.95% B:1.46%) 25.14% (G:5.98% B:0.32%) Conf.: กำ 0.003 (+0.775...+0.781) - [51.6%] Duration: 2 hours 54 minutes
2.	Rollout1	8/1*	eq: +0.778 (0.000)
	Player: Opponent: 73.03% (G:49.73% B:0.83%) 26.97% (G:7.60% B:0.51%) Conf.: กำ 0.003 (+0.775...+0.781) - [48.4%] Duration: 2 hours 58 minutes
3.	Rollout2	21/15 3/2	eq: +0.771 (-0.007)
	Player: Opponent: 76.58% (G:36.02% B:1.07%) 23.42% (G:4.04% B:0.19%) Conf.: กำ 0.004 (+0.767...+0.775) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 21 minutes
4.	Rollout2	13/6	eq: +0.758 (-0.021)
	Player: Opponent: 74.18% (G:42.07% B:1.64%) 25.82% (G:5.87% B:0.27%) Conf.: กำ 0.004 (+0.753...+0.762) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 19 minutes
5.	Rollout3	13/7 3/2	eq: +0.697 (-0.081)
	Player: Opponent: 71.86% (G:42.64% B:1.38%) 28.14% (G:6.00% B:0.31%) Conf.: กำ 0.009 (+0.688...+0.706) - [0.0%] Duration: 33 minutes 12 seconds
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 3 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• whats the best play here 2 ?
  Konstantin -- Monday, 28 September 2015, at 9:38 a.m.
  • whats the best play here 2 ?
    Chuck Bower -- Monday, 28 September 2015, at 4:31 p.m.
  • whats the best play here 2 ?
    johnk -- Monday, 28 September 2015, at 6:03 p.m.
  • whats the best play here 2 ?
    neilkaz -- Monday, 28 September 2015, at 6:19 p.m.
    • whats the best play here 2 ?
      Stick -- Monday, 28 September 2015, at 6:57 p.m.
    • whats the best play here 2 ?
      johnk -- Monday, 28 September 2015, at 9:19 p.m.
  • whats the best play here 2 ?
    hominid -- Tuesday, 29 September 2015, at 10:59 a.m.
  • Results XG++ : whats the best play here 2 ?
    Konstantin -- Friday, 2 October 2015, at 5:45 p.m.
    • Tied Variants
      Nack Ballard -- Friday, 2 October 2015, at 7:15 p.m.