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Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Tuesday, 6 October 2015, at 4:12 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout (Timothy Chow)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 162 Unlimited Game pip: 159 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---b--EbC-B-bC---bbc-b-B--:0:0:1:51:0:0:0:0:10
Original Position [Z P42 E89] "<=1

1.	Rollout1	23/22 13/8	eq: -0.387
	Player: Opponent: 41.05% (G:10.73% B:0.41%) 58.95% (G:18.13% B:0.79%) Conf.: � 0.016 (-0.403...-0.372) - [100.0%] Duration: 25 minutes 44 seconds
2.	Rollout1	10/5 6/5	eq: -0.430 (-0.042)
	Player: Opponent: 39.26% (G:11.74% B:0.49%) 60.74% (G:17.48% B:0.83%) Conf.: � 0.015 (-0.445...-0.415) - [0.0%] Duration: 25 minutes 17 seconds
3.	Rollout1	23/22 6/1	eq: -0.476 (-0.089)
	Player: Opponent: 39.23% (G:10.71% B:0.35%) 60.77% (G:20.51% B:0.84%) Conf.: � 0.014 (-0.490...-0.462) - [0.0%] Duration: 25 minutes 47 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 271828 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Tim's rollout of his original position.

Below are some variants. The fourth one, which has the same board position as the original, is included in part because one of the respondents seemed to think the roll was 31 instead of 51.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 158 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 159 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---b--EbC-B-bC---b-cbb-B--:0:0:1:51:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1 [P Z31 U55] "<=5*2

1.	Rollout1	10/5 6/5	eq: -0.592
	Player: Opponent: 36.04% (G:10.09% B:0.41%) 63.96% (G:20.04% B:0.96%) Conf.: กำ 0.008 (-0.600...-0.584) - [100.0%] Duration: 3 hours 34 minutes
2.	Rollout1	23/22 13/8	eq: -0.623 (-0.031)
	Player: Opponent: 36.35% (G:9.19% B:0.38%) 63.65% (G:22.99% B:0.92%) Conf.: กำ 0.008 (-0.631...-0.615) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 hours 14 minutes
3.	Rollout2	23/22 23/18	eq: -0.647 (-0.055)
	Player: Opponent: 36.48% (G:8.45% B:0.35%) 63.52% (G:27.22% B:0.86%) Conf.: กำ 0.017 (-0.664...-0.631) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 22 minutes
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 160 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 159 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---b--EbC-B-bC---bbb-c-B--:0:0:1:51:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2 [P Z31] "<=5

1.	Rollout1	10/5 6/5	eq: -0.283
	Player: Opponent: 42.77% (G:12.90% B:0.50%) 57.23% (G:16.14% B:0.77%) Conf.: กำ 0.008 (-0.291...-0.275) - [100.0%] Duration: 2 hours 57 minutes
2.	Rollout1	23/22 13/8	eq: -0.314 (-0.031)
	Player: Opponent: 42.80% (G:11.30% B:0.45%) 57.20% (G:17.33% B:0.71%) Conf.: กำ 0.008 (-0.322...-0.306) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 hours 01 minute
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 9265210 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 155 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 159 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---b--EbC-B-aC---bbd-b-B--:0:0:1:51:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 3 [P Z73 N126] "<=1

1.	Rollout1	10/5 6/5	eq: -0.373
	Player: Opponent: 40.42% (G:12.03% B:0.48%) 59.58% (G:17.03% B:0.86%) Conf.: กำ 0.016 (-0.390...-0.357) - [100.0%] Duration: 1 hour 11 minutes
2.	Rollout1	23/22 13/8	eq: -0.446 (-0.073)
	Player: Opponent: 40.39% (G:10.37% B:0.40%) 59.61% (G:21.37% B:0.86%) Conf.: กำ 0.016 (-0.463...-0.430) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 09 minutes
3.	Rollout1	13/12* 6/1	eq: -0.500 (-0.126)
	Player: Opponent: 38.38% (G:11.37% B:0.42%) 61.62% (G:21.28% B:1.19%) Conf.: กำ 0.018 (-0.517...-0.482) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 22 minutes
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 9265210 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 162 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 159 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---b--EbC-B-bC---bbc-b-B--:0:0:1:31:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 4 [U P19] "<=5

1.	Rollout1	23/22 23/20	eq: -0.314
	Player: Opponent: 43.30% (G:11.35% B:0.54%) 56.70% (G:18.51% B:0.66%) Conf.: กำ 0.008 (-0.322...-0.306) - [99.9%] Duration: 7 hours 03 minutes
2.	Rollout1	8/5 6/5	eq: -0.333 (-0.019)
	Player: Opponent: 41.67% (G:12.43% B:0.49%) 58.33% (G:16.75% B:0.76%) Conf.: กำ 0.008 (-0.341...-0.324) - [0.1%] Duration: 6 hours 23 minutes
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 7059602 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Make the 5pt? #2
  Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 4 October 2015, at 5:09 p.m.
  • Make the 5pt? #2
    Chase -- Sunday, 4 October 2015, at 5:26 p.m.
  • Make the 5pt? #2
    Fatboy -- Sunday, 4 October 2015, at 7:16 p.m.
  • Make the 5pt? #2
    RobertFontaine -- Monday, 5 October 2015, at 6:15 a.m.
    • Make the 5pt? #2
      neilkaz -- Monday, 5 October 2015, at 6:32 p.m.
      • Make the 5pt? #2
        RobertFontaine -- Monday, 5 October 2015, at 8:00 p.m.
  • Make the 5pt? #2
    ah_clem -- Monday, 5 October 2015, at 2:02 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Timothy Chow -- Monday, 5 October 2015, at 11:22 p.m.
    • Variants
      Nack Ballard -- Tuesday, 6 October 2015, at 4:12 a.m.
    • Rollout
      Michael G -- Tuesday, 6 October 2015, at 9:54 p.m.
      • Retro
        Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 7 October 2015, at 1:35 a.m.
        • Retro
          Michael G -- Wednesday, 7 October 2015, at 9:11 p.m.