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Variants
Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Tuesday, 6 October 2015, at 4:12 a.m.
In Response To: Rollout (Timothy Chow)
1.  Rollout^{1}  23/22 13/8  eq: 0.387 
 Player: Opponent:  41.05% (G:10.73% B:0.41%) 58.95% (G:18.13% B:0.79%)  Conf.: � 0.016 (0.403...0.372)  [100.0%] Duration: 25 minutes 44 seconds 

2.  Rollout^{1}  10/5 6/5  eq: 0.430 (0.042) 
 Player: Opponent:  39.26% (G:11.74% B:0.49%) 60.74% (G:17.48% B:0.83%)  Conf.: � 0.015 (0.445...0.415)  [0.0%] Duration: 25 minutes 17 seconds 

3.  Rollout^{1}  23/22 6/1  eq: 0.476 (0.089) 
 Player: Opponent:  39.23% (G:10.71% B:0.35%) 60.77% (G:20.51% B:0.84%)  Conf.: � 0.014 (0.490...0.462)  [0.0%] Duration: 25 minutes 47 seconds 


^{1} 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 271828 Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Tim's rollout of his original position.
Below are some variants. The fourth one, which has the same board position as the original, is included in part because one of the respondents seemed to think the roll was 31 instead of 51.
Nack
1.  Rollout^{1}  10/5 6/5  eq: 0.592 
 Player: Opponent:  36.04% (G:10.09% B:0.41%) 63.96% (G:20.04% B:0.96%)  Conf.: กำ 0.008 (0.600...0.584)  [100.0%] Duration: 3 hours 34 minutes 

2.  Rollout^{1}  23/22 13/8  eq: 0.623 (0.031) 
 Player: Opponent:  36.35% (G:9.19% B:0.38%) 63.65% (G:22.99% B:0.92%)  Conf.: กำ 0.008 (0.631...0.615)  [0.0%] Duration: 3 hours 14 minutes 

3.  Rollout^{2}  23/22 23/18  eq: 0.647 (0.055) 
 Player: Opponent:  36.48% (G:8.45% B:0.35%) 63.52% (G:27.22% B:0.86%)  Conf.: กำ 0.017 (0.664...0.631)  [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 22 minutes 


^{1} 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
^{2} 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

1.  Rollout^{1}  10/5 6/5  eq: 0.283 
 Player: Opponent:  42.77% (G:12.90% B:0.50%) 57.23% (G:16.14% B:0.77%)  Conf.: กำ 0.008 (0.291...0.275)  [100.0%] Duration: 2 hours 57 minutes 

2.  Rollout^{1}  23/22 13/8  eq: 0.314 (0.031) 
 Player: Opponent:  42.80% (G:11.30% B:0.45%) 57.20% (G:17.33% B:0.71%)  Conf.: กำ 0.008 (0.322...0.306)  [0.0%] Duration: 3 hours 01 minute 


^{1} 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 9265210 Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

1.  Rollout^{1}  10/5 6/5  eq: 0.373 
 Player: Opponent:  40.42% (G:12.03% B:0.48%) 59.58% (G:17.03% B:0.86%)  Conf.: กำ 0.016 (0.390...0.357)  [100.0%] Duration: 1 hour 11 minutes 

2.  Rollout^{1}  23/22 13/8  eq: 0.446 (0.073) 
 Player: Opponent:  40.39% (G:10.37% B:0.40%) 59.61% (G:21.37% B:0.86%)  Conf.: กำ 0.016 (0.463...0.430)  [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 09 minutes 

3.  Rollout^{1}  13/12* 6/1  eq: 0.500 (0.126) 
 Player: Opponent:  38.38% (G:11.37% B:0.42%) 61.62% (G:21.28% B:1.19%)  Conf.: กำ 0.018 (0.517...0.482)  [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 22 minutes 


^{1} 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 9265210 Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

1.  Rollout^{1}  23/22 23/20  eq: 0.314 
 Player: Opponent:  43.30% (G:11.35% B:0.54%) 56.70% (G:18.51% B:0.66%)  Conf.: กำ 0.008 (0.322...0.306)  [99.9%] Duration: 7 hours 03 minutes 

2.  Rollout^{1}  8/5 6/5  eq: 0.333 (0.019) 
 Player: Opponent:  41.67% (G:12.43% B:0.49%) 58.33% (G:16.75% B:0.76%)  Conf.: กำ 0.008 (0.341...0.324)  [0.1%] Duration: 6 hours 23 minutes 


^{1} 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 7059602 Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread
 Make the 5pt? #2
Timothy Chow  Sunday, 4 October 2015, at 5:09 p.m.
 Make the 5pt? #2
Chase  Sunday, 4 October 2015, at 5:26 p.m.
 Make the 5pt? #2
Fatboy  Sunday, 4 October 2015, at 7:16 p.m.
 Make the 5pt? #2
RobertFontaine  Monday, 5 October 2015, at 6:15 a.m.
 Make the 5pt? #2
ah_clem  Monday, 5 October 2015, at 2:02 p.m.
 Rollout
Timothy Chow  Monday, 5 October 2015, at 11:22 p.m.
 Variants
Nack Ballard  Tuesday, 6 October 2015, at 4:12 a.m.
 Rollout
Michael G  Tuesday, 6 October 2015, at 9:54 p.m.
 Retro
Nack Ballard  Wednesday, 7 October 2015, at 1:35 a.m.
 Retro
Michael G  Wednesday, 7 October 2015, at 9:11 p.m.
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