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RO for money

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Wednesday, 7 October 2015, at 6:08 p.m.

In Response To: OTB and RO (neilkaz)

I doubt it will surprise anyone here that it's clear hold for unlimited games, but thought I'd post it anyway. AtS, Blue's elevated gammon value on a four cube (.77) and white's diminished value (.12) pushes this into cube territory.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 117
Unlimited Game
pip: 121
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a-B-BBC-B---dB-A---bbbbbA-:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 57.84% (G:16.00% B:0.20%) 58.64% (G:16.31% B:0.19%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 42.16% (G:10.96% B:0.34%) 41.36% (G:11.91% B:0.43%)
Cubeless Equities +0.206 +0.429
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.431±0.007 (+0.423..+0.438)
Redouble/Take:+0.195 (-0.236)±0.015 (+0.180..+0.210)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.569)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 22.7%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 16 minutes 55 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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