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Five best plays
Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Monday, 12 October 2015, at 2:54 p.m.
In Response To: XG Rollout whats your play? seven (Konstantin)
White is Player 1
score: 0
pip: 115Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 144
score: 0
Blue is Player 2XGID=abBCCBBAAbbdabAa:1:1:1:65:0:0:3:0:10 Original Position
[ j J53] "<=0.6
1. Rollout^{1} 11/5 8/3* eq: 0,650
Player:
Opponent:27,24% (G:8,03% B:0,42%)
72,76% (G:35,69% B:3,18%)Conf.: � 0,013 (0,662...0,637)  [100,0%]
Duration: 10 minutes 54 seconds2. Rollout^{1} 11/6 11/5 eq: 0,703 (0,053)
Player:
Opponent:18,24% (G:2,03% B:0,05%)
81,76% (G:15,01% B:0,55%)Conf.: � 0,008 (0,711...0,694)  [0,0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 24 seconds3. XG Roller++ 8/2 8/3* eq: 0,703 (0,053)
Player:
Opponent:23,73% (G:6,19% B:0,28%)
76,27% (G:31,54% B:1,52%)4. XG Roller++ 11/5 6/1 eq: 0,728 (0,079)
Player:
Opponent:18,78% (G:2,21% B:0,04%)
81,22% (G:18,53% B:0,80%)5. XG Roller++ 22/16* 16/11 eq: 0,750 (0,100)
Player:
Opponent:24,91% (G:6,48% B:0,32%)
75,09% (G:37,04% B:3,51%)^{1} 648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG RollerKonstantin's rollout of his original position is shown above. (BTW, it can be misleading to compare rolled out plays with evaluated plays.)
Rollouts of four variants appear below.
Five related positions, five different best plays.
Nack
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 128Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 144
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=AaBADaBBaabbcbbBA:1:1:1:65:0:0:3:0:10 Variant 1
[S j11 J19 K54 J79] "<=5**1
1. Rollout^{1} 22/16* 16/11 eq: 0.650
Player:
Opponent:25.00% (G:7.65% B:0.57%)
75.00% (G:30.01% B:2.49%)Conf.: กำ 0.005 (0.655...0.645)  [99.8%]
Duration: 3 hours 40 minutes2. Rollout^{1} 11/5 8/3* eq: 0.661 (0.011)
Player:
Opponent:26.19% (G:9.71% B:0.89%)
73.81% (G:35.79% B:2.99%)Conf.: กำ 0.006 (0.667...0.656)  [0.2%]
Duration: 3 hours 27 minutes3. Rollout^{1} 8/2 8/3* eq: 0.669 (0.019)
Player:
Opponent:23.14% (G:8.51% B:0.70%)
76.86% (G:29.17% B:1.51%)Conf.: กำ 0.005 (0.674...0.665)  [0.0%]
Duration: 3 hours 07 minutes4. Rollout^{2} 22/16* 8/3* eq: 0.704 (0.054)
Player:
Opponent:28.35% (G:10.93% B:1.02%)
71.65% (G:41.58% B:8.64%)Conf.: กำ 0.015 (0.719...0.690)  [0.0%]
Duration: 44 minutes 11 seconds5. Rollout^{2} 11/6 11/5 eq: 0.730 (0.079)
Player:
Opponent:17.30% (G:2.75% B:0.07%)
82.70% (G:15.53% B:0.60%)Conf.: กำ 0.006 (0.735...0.724)  [0.0%]
Duration: 29 minutes 26 seconds^{1} 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
^{2} 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 120Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 144
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=AaBADaBBabbccbBA:1:1:1:65:0:0:3:0:10 Variant 2
[J J13 j39 S46 K96] "<=5*2*1
1. Rollout^{1} 8/2 8/3* eq: 0.652
Player:
Opponent:25.07% (G:7.60% B:0.33%)
74.93% (G:30.91% B:1.58%)Conf.: กำ 0.005 (0.657...0.648)  [100.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 04 minutes2. Rollout^{1} 11/6 11/5 eq: 0.665 (0.013)
Player:
Opponent:19.94% (G:3.25% B:0.09%)
80.06% (G:15.78% B:0.69%)Conf.: กำ 0.003 (0.669...0.662)  [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 27 minutes3. Rollout^{2} 11/5 8/3* eq: 0.691 (0.039)
Player:
Opponent:27.38% (G:8.54% B:0.45%)
72.62% (G:39.50% B:3.92%)Conf.: กำ 0.008 (0.699...0.683)  [0.0%]
Duration: 47 minutes 58 seconds4. Rollout^{2} 22/16* 16/11 eq: 0.698 (0.046)
Player:
Opponent:25.66% (G:7.40% B:0.41%)
74.34% (G:35.57% B:3.30%)Conf.: กำ 0.007 (0.705...0.691)  [0.0%]
Duration: 48 minutes 48 seconds5. Rollout^{3} 22/16* 8/3* eq: 0.749 (0.096)
Player:
Opponent:28.53% (G:9.46% B:0.56%)
71.47% (G:43.01% B:10.43%)Conf.: กำ 0.013 (0.762...0.735)  [0.0%]
Duration: 25 minutes 54 seconds^{1} 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 9265210
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
^{2} 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 9265210
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
^{3} 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 9265210
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 116Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 144
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=AaBADBBaabbccbBA:1:1:1:65:0:0:3:0:10 Variant 3
[J j25 A29 J83] "<=5**1
1. Rollout^{1} 11/6 11/5 eq: 0.693
Player:
Opponent:18.62% (G:2.25% B:0.05%)
81.38% (G:14.62% B:0.58%)Conf.: กำ 0.003 (0.696...0.690)  [100.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 37 minutes2. Rollout^{1} 11/5 8/3* eq: 0.718 (0.025)
Player:
Opponent:25.54% (G:5.94% B:0.26%)
74.46% (G:35.74% B:3.05%)Conf.: กำ 0.005 (0.722...0.713)  [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 22 minutes3. Rollout^{1} 11/5 6/1 eq: 0.722 (0.029)
Player:
Opponent:18.92% (G:2.53% B:0.06%)
81.08% (G:18.27% B:0.99%)Conf.: กำ 0.003 (0.725...0.719)  [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 15 minutes4. Rollout^{2} 8/2 8/3* eq: 0.776 (0.083)
Player:
Opponent:21.54% (G:4.63% B:0.19%)
78.46% (G:31.82% B:1.55%)Conf.: กำ 0.010 (0.787...0.766)  [0.0%]
Duration: 46 minutes 19 seconds^{1} 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 7059602
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
^{2} 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 7059602
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 127Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 144
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=AaBADBBababbccBA:1:1:1:65:0:0:3:0:10 Variant 4
[K j5 S22 J117] "<=10*5 1
1. Rollout^{1} 22/16* 8/3* eq: 0.355
Player:
Opponent:36.26% (G:14.43% B:0.82%)
63.74% (G:32.84% B:5.72%)Conf.: กำ 0.005 (0.361...0.350)  [90.8%]
Duration: 5 hours 27 minutes2. Rollout^{1} 11/5 8/3* eq: 0.360 (0.005)
Player:
Opponent:32.96% (G:13.16% B:0.64%)
67.04% (G:26.55% B:1.81%)Conf.: กำ 0.004 (0.364...0.356)  [9.2%]
Duration: 4 hours 13 minutes3. Rollout^{2} 22/16* 16/11 eq: 0.378 (0.022)
Player:
Opponent:32.92% (G:10.61% B:0.52%)
67.08% (G:25.11% B:2.02%)Conf.: กำ 0.005 (0.383...0.372)  [0.0%]
Duration: 3 hours 00 minute4. Rollout^{3} 8/2 8/3* eq: 0.473 (0.117)
Player:
Opponent:28.64% (G:10.94% B:0.51%)
71.36% (G:25.05% B:1.10%)Conf.: กำ 0.009 (0.482...0.463)  [0.0%]
Duration: 36 minutes 56 seconds^{1} 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
^{2} 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
^{3} 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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