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Swingy Variants
Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Tuesday, 13 October 2015, at 7:15 p.m.
In Response To: I feel like I've been Othelloed **ROLLOUT** (Michael Depreli)
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 1317 point match pip: 161
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=aBACBbCbBbbcbAAa:0:0:1:66:0:0:0:7:10 Blue to play 66
1. Rollout^{1} 22/16 21/15 13/7(2) eq: 0.039
Player:
Opponent:51.85% (G:10.86% B:0.65%)
48.15% (G:22.98% B:0.99%)Conf.: � 0.014 (0.053...0.025)  [100.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 44 seconds2. Rollout^{1} 22/10 21/9 eq: 0.097 (0.058)
Player:
Opponent:48.63% (G:9.90% B:0.44%)
51.37% (G:16.28% B:0.50%)Conf.: � 0.014 (0.111...0.083)  [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 29 seconds3. Rollout^{1} 21/9 8/2*(2) eq: 0.141 (0.101)
Player:
Opponent:45.91% (G:15.69% B:0.50%)
54.09% (G:18.03% B:0.81%)Conf.: � 0.012 (0.153...0.129)  [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 54 seconds4. Rollout^{1} 22/10 8/2*(2) eq: 0.150 (0.110)
Player:
Opponent:46.18% (G:14.38% B:0.50%)
53.82% (G:18.20% B:0.82%)Conf.: � 0.013 (0.163...0.137)  [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 56 seconds5. Rollout^{1} 22/16 13/7(3) eq: 0.182 (0.142)
Player:
Opponent:46.96% (G:11.68% B:0.57%)
53.04% (G:18.26% B:0.50%)Conf.: � 0.014 (0.195...0.168)  [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 05 seconds6. Rollout^{1} 21/15 13/7(3) eq: 0.204 (0.165)
Player:
Opponent:47.31% (G:13.06% B:0.78%)
52.69% (G:25.34% B:1.12%)Conf.: � 0.012 (0.216...0.192)  [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 24 seconds7. Rollout^{1} 22/10 13/7(2) eq: 0.214 (0.174)
Player:
Opponent:47.67% (G:12.43% B:0.91%)
52.33% (G:26.95% B:2.02%)Conf.: � 0.014 (0.228...0.199)  [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 32 seconds8. Rollout^{1} 13/7(2) 8/2*(2) eq: 0.244 (0.205)
Player:
Opponent:43.45% (G:15.52% B:0.79%)
56.55% (G:19.86% B:1.48%)Conf.: � 0.015 (0.259...0.230)  [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 52 seconds9. Rollout^{1} 21/9 13/7(2) eq: 0.247 (0.208)
Player:
Opponent:46.93% (G:13.07% B:0.88%)
53.07% (G:26.12% B:1.91%)Conf.: � 0.012 (0.260...0.235)  [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 43 seconds^{1} 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3plyAbove is Michael's rollout of his (Othello'ed) original position.
In the first of the two variants below, the margin between the original top two plays goes from +.058 to ¡V.169. In the second variant, the margin between the original first and third best plays goes from +.101 to ¡V.192.
Nack
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 1327 point match pip: 161
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=aBACBbCbBbbcbAAa:0:0:1:66:0:0:0:7:10 Blue to play 66
1. Rollout^{1} 22/10 21/9 eq: 0.111
Player:
Opponent:48.15% (G:10.16% B:0.41%)
51.85% (G:16.67% B:0.59%)Conf.: ¡Ó 0.013 (0.125...0.098)  [100.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 14 minutes2. Rollout^{1} 22/16 13/7(3) eq: 0.147 (0.036)
Player:
Opponent:47.90% (G:12.80% B:0.70%)
52.10% (G:19.60% B:0.53%)Conf.: ¡Ó 0.015 (0.162...0.132)  [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 05 minutes3. Rollout^{1} 22/10 13/7(2) eq: 0.251 (0.140)
Player:
Opponent:46.93% (G:12.72% B:0.99%)
53.07% (G:28.09% B:2.55%)Conf.: ¡Ó 0.015 (0.266...0.236)  [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 02 minutes4. Rollout^{1} 21/9 13/7(2) eq: 0.254 (0.143)
Player:
Opponent:46.17% (G:13.49% B:0.90%)
53.83% (G:26.24% B:2.11%)Conf.: ¡Ó 0.014 (0.268...0.240)  [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 05 minutes5. Rollout^{1} 22/16 21/15 13/7(2) eq: 0.280 (0.169)
Player:
Opponent:46.17% (G:11.54% B:0.71%)
53.83% (G:26.69% B:1.21%)Conf.: ¡Ó 0.013 (0.293...0.267)  [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 04 minutes^{1} 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 7059602
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 1317 point match pip: 159
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=aBACBbCbBbbcbAAa:0:0:1:66:0:0:0:7:10 Blue to play 66
1. Rollout^{1} 21/9 8/2*(2) eq: 0.087
Player:
Opponent:46.88% (G:17.44% B:0.54%)
53.12% (G:19.20% B:1.01%)Conf.: ¡Ó 0.014 (0.101...0.073)  [100.0%]
Duration: 54 minutes 41 seconds2. Rollout^{1} 16/10(2) 8/2*(2) eq: 0.170 (0.082)
Player:
Opponent:44.38% (G:17.52% B:0.71%)
55.62% (G:18.35% B:0.95%)Conf.: ¡Ó 0.014 (0.184...0.155)  [0.0%]
Duration: 54 minutes 28 seconds3. Rollout^{1} 22/16 21/15 8/2*(2) eq: 0.207 (0.119)
Player:
Opponent:44.85% (G:13.03% B:0.49%)
55.15% (G:19.26% B:0.75%)Conf.: ¡Ó 0.012 (0.219...0.195)  [0.0%]
Duration: 51 minutes 04 seconds4. Rollout^{1} 13/7(2) 8/2*(2) eq: 0.232 (0.145)
Player:
Opponent:43.60% (G:17.30% B:0.75%)
56.40% (G:21.05% B:1.87%)Conf.: ¡Ó 0.015 (0.247...0.217)  [0.0%]
Duration: 52 minutes 18 seconds5. Rollout^{1} 22/16 13/7(3) eq: 0.247 (0.160)
Player:
Opponent:45.10% (G:12.04% B:0.60%)
54.90% (G:20.40% B:0.63%)Conf.: ¡Ó 0.013 (0.260...0.234)  [0.0%]
Duration: 56 minutes 44 seconds6. Rollout^{1} 22/16 13/7 8/2*(2) eq: 0.254 (0.167)
Player:
Opponent:42.90% (G:15.84% B:0.55%)
57.10% (G:20.57% B:1.00%)Conf.: ¡Ó 0.014 (0.269...0.240)  [0.0%]
Duration: 52 minutes 45 seconds7. Rollout^{1} 22/16 21/15 13/7(2) eq: 0.279 (0.192)
Player:
Opponent:45.54% (G:10.89% B:0.74%)
54.46% (G:25.68% B:1.20%)Conf.: ¡Ó 0.015 (0.295...0.264)  [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 02 minutes^{1} 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 9265210
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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