
              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 1 pip: 131 | 7 point match | pip: 154 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=-aaB-BCBB--------bdebB-A-A:0:0:1:31:0:1:0:7:10 |
Blue to play 31 |
1. | XG Roller++ | Bar/22 23/22 | eq: +0.385 |
| Player: Opponent: | 59.04% (G:16.55% B:0.64%) 40.96% (G:11.69% B:0.42%) | |
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2. | XG Roller++ | Bar/21 | eq: +0.293 (-0.092) |
| Player: Opponent: | 57.00% (G:14.98% B:0.61%) 43.00% (G:12.60% B:0.43%) | |
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Above is the XGR++ evaluation of Svilo's position.
The only way I found to make the choice close (without being more radical) is to extend White's prime.
In Variant 1 below, a spare from each of White's points is moved back to make her 9pt. That's still not quite enough to overturn the robust @ (anchor, bar/22 23/22).
Variant 2 is the same as Variant 1, except for a minor spare adjustment. That's enough to (barely) reverse the order of the best and second best play.
Nack
1. | Rollout1 | Bar/22 23/22 | eq: -0.326 |
| Player: Opponent: | 41.83% (G:11.89% B:0.65%) 58.17% (G:17.39% B:0.69%) | Conf.: กำ 0.006 (-0.332...-0.320) - [100.0%] Duration: 5 hours 03 minutes |
|
2. | Rollout1 | Bar/21 | eq: -0.340 (-0.014) |
| Player: Opponent: | 41.54% (G:11.01% B:0.52%) 58.46% (G:16.64% B:0.62%) | Conf.: กำ 0.005 (-0.345...-0.334) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 hours 17 minutes |
|
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1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
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1. | Rollout1 | Bar/21 | eq: -0.398 |
| Player: Opponent: | 40.03% (G:10.58% B:0.52%) 59.97% (G:16.58% B:0.61%) | Conf.: กำ 0.005 (-0.403...-0.393) - [95.8%] Duration: 5 hours 14 minutes |
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2. | Rollout1 | Bar/22 23/22 | eq: -0.405 (-0.007) |
| Player: Opponent: | 39.73% (G:11.23% B:0.58%) 60.27% (G:17.67% B:0.64%) | Conf.: กำ 0.006 (-0.411...-0.399) - [4.2%] Duration: 4 hours 53 minutes |
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1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
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