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Enters with a 6, re-cube Rollout

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Tuesday, 10 November 2015, at 5:09 a.m.

In Response To: Toooooo Goooood, or, not ? (neilkaz)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 124
15 point match
pip: 153
score: 1

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b-aBBB-BA---C-A-bbAbababA:1:-1:-1:00:1:0:0:15:10

Blue enters with a 6, White on roll, cube action?
[R 539¡V32] "<=5


Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 53.51% (G:41.95% B:3.19%) 53.93% (G:42.98% B:3.06%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 46.49% (G:15.17% B:1.29%) 46.07% (G:14.98% B:1.87%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.376 +0.816
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.508 (-0.032)¡Ó0.008 (+0.500..+0.515)
Redouble/Take:+0.539¡Ó0.016 (+0.523..+0.555)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.461)
 
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 54270926
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 2 hours 48 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Even for money, it turns out to be close to a redouble.

Nack

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