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Variant

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Wednesday, 11 November 2015, at 10:59 p.m.

In Response To: I won a bet on this one (Phil Simborg)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 150 1 point match pip: 89 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-ABBbcDaCB--A------b-bbab-:0:0:1:62:0:0:0:1:10
Original Position

1.	XG Roller++	9/7* 7/1	eq: +0.479
	Player: Opponent: 73.94% (G:42.44% B:0.38%) 26.06% (G:3.39% B:0.07%)
2.	XG Roller++	12/6 8/6	eq: +0.452 (-0.027)
	Player: Opponent: 72.58% (G:29.24% B:0.24%) 27.42% (G:2.71% B:0.07%)
3.	XG Roller++	12/6 3/1	eq: +0.437 (-0.042)
	Player: Opponent: 71.83% (G:28.00% B:0.22%) 28.17% (G:3.02% B:0.07%)

As far as I can tell, no bot info was shared for this position (posted by Phil). Above is an XGR++ evaluation. Hit-and-cover looks obvious, eh?

Below is a contrasting variant.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 142 1 point match pip: 89 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-ABBbbDaCB--Aa-----b-bbab-:0:0:1:62:0:0:0:1:10
Variant Position Compared to the original, White is adjusted 20/12

1.	Rollout1	12/6 8/6	eq: +0.441
	Player: Opponent: 72.06% (G:29.85% B:0.39%) 27.94% (G:1.80% B:0.03%) Conf.: กำ 0.002 (+0.439...+0.443) - [100.0%] Duration: 1 hour 29 minutes
2.	Rollout1	12/6 3/1	eq: +0.424 (-0.018)
	Player: Opponent: 71.18% (G:27.90% B:0.28%) 28.82% (G:2.25% B:0.03%) Conf.: กำ 0.002 (+0.421...+0.426) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 19 minutes
3.	Rollout2	9/7* 7/1	eq: +0.411 (-0.031)
	Player: Opponent: 70.53% (G:41.19% B:0.55%) 29.47% (G:3.12% B:0.05%) Conf.: กำ 0.003 (+0.407...+0.414) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 01 minute
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• I won a bet on this one
  Phil Simborg -- Sunday, 1 November 2015, at 4:00 p.m.
  • I won a bet on this one
    Alex Schofield -- Sunday, 1 November 2015, at 4:09 p.m.
    • I won a bet on this one
      Casper Van der Tak -- Sunday, 1 November 2015, at 4:51 p.m.
      • I won a bet on this one
        Phil simborg -- Sunday, 1 November 2015, at 6:06 p.m.
        • I won a bet on this one
          Casper Van der Tak -- Sunday, 1 November 2015, at 6:51 p.m.
          • I won a bet on this one
            Fatboy -- Monday, 2 November 2015, at 8:02 a.m.
            • Hong Kong report
              Fatboy -- Monday, 2 November 2015, at 4:48 p.m.
              • Hong Kong report
                Casper Van der Tak -- Monday, 2 November 2015, at 6:30 p.m.
                • Hong Kong report
                  Fatboy -- Tuesday, 3 November 2015, at 6:07 a.m.
                  • Hong Kong report
                    Casper Van der Tak -- Tuesday, 3 November 2015, at 7:22 a.m.
  • I won a bet on this one
    TarHeelFan -- Sunday, 1 November 2015, at 4:23 p.m.
  • I won a bet on this one
    Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 1 November 2015, at 6:03 p.m.
  • I won a bet on this one
    Stick -- Sunday, 1 November 2015, at 10:34 p.m.
    • I won a bet on this one
      Phil Simborg -- Sunday, 1 November 2015, at 10:40 p.m.
  • I won a bet on this one
    scotty -- Monday, 2 November 2015, at 3:33 a.m.
    • correction to shot count.
      scotty -- Monday, 2 November 2015, at 3:37 a.m.
  • Variant
    Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 11 November 2015, at 10:59 p.m.