1. | Rollout1 | 8/1* | eq: +0.8530 |
| Player: Opponent: | 93.10% (G:11.29% B:0.24%) 6.90% (G:0.45% B:0.09%) | Conf.: �0.0015 (+0.8515...+0.8546) - [100.0%] Duration: 8 minutes 28 seconds |
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2. | Rollout1 | 8/5 7/3 | eq: +0.8390 (-0.0141) |
| Player: Opponent: | 92.15% (G:5.75% B:0.05%) 7.85% (G:0.20% B:0.01%) | Conf.: �0.0011 (+0.8379...+0.8401) - [0.0%] Duration: 6 minutes 51 seconds |
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1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
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eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
Above is the rollout of Neil's original position (which he displayed to a fourth decimal place). The hitting play is favored by .014.
Below are contrasting variants (displayed to the third decimal place). The first two back up White a mere pip or two. The third variant further demonstrates that it matters which pips -- a back-up of 3 is required before the breakeven point is crossed.
Nack
1. | Rollout1 | 8/5 7/3 | eq: +0.834 |
| Player: Opponent: | 91.96% (G:3.58% B:0.06%) 8.04% (G:0.15% B:0.00%) | Conf.: กำ 0.002 (+0.832...+0.837) - [100.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 50 seconds |
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2. | Rollout1 | 8/1* | eq: +0.807 (-0.027) |
| Player: Opponent: | 91.52% (G:9.37% B:0.39%) 8.48% (G:0.68% B:0.01%) | Conf.: กำ 0.004 (+0.804...+0.811) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 09 seconds |
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1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
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1. | Rollout1 | 8/5 7/3 | eq: +0.839 |
| Player: Opponent: | 92.33% (G:4.43% B:0.13%) 7.67% (G:0.21% B:0.01%) | Conf.: กำ 0.002 (+0.838...+0.841) - [100.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 20 seconds |
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2. | Rollout1 | 8/1* | eq: +0.827 (-0.012) |
| Player: Opponent: | 92.28% (G:9.83% B:0.44%) 7.72% (G:0.54% B:0.02%) | Conf.: กำ 0.003 (+0.825...+0.830) - [0.0%] Duration: 7 minutes 05 seconds |
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1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
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1. | Rollout1 | 8/5 7/3 | eq: +0.839 |
| Player: Opponent: | 92.25% (G:5.03% B:0.08%) 7.75% (G:0.17% B:0.01%) | Conf.: กำ 0.001 (+0.838...+0.840) - [99.9%] Duration: 13 minutes 32 seconds |
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2. | Rollout1 | 8/1* | eq: +0.836 (-0.003) |
| Player: Opponent: | 92.65% (G:11.61% B:0.35%) 7.35% (G:0.49% B:0.01%) | Conf.: กำ 0.002 (+0.834...+0.838) - [0.1%] Duration: 15 minutes 40 seconds |
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1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
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