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Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Monday, 23 November 2015, at 5:23 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout (Neil Robins)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 143
Unlimited Game
Beaver
pip: 122
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--B-B-DbC---dB---cBcab----:0:0:1:42:0:0:2:0:10

Original Position

1.Rollout113/11 13/9eq: +0.059
Player:
Opponent:
52.64% (G:8.66% B:0.18%)
47.36% (G:7.88% B:0.30%)
Conf.: � 0.008 (+0.051...+0.066) - [100.0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 50 seconds
2.Rollout18/4 6/4eq: +0.035 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:
52.13% (G:7.88% B:0.18%)
47.87% (G:10.41% B:0.33%)
Conf.: � 0.008 (+0.027...+0.043) - [0.0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 26 seconds
3.Rollout18/2eq: +0.024 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:
51.83% (G:7.86% B:0.17%)
48.17% (G:10.51% B:0.35%)
Conf.: � 0.009 (+0.016...+0.033) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 54 seconds
4.Rollout16/4 6/2eq: -0.008 (-0.067)
Player:
Opponent:
51.29% (G:7.59% B:0.16%)
48.71% (G:11.31% B:0.38%)
Conf.: � 0.009 (-0.017...+0.001) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 50 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 71284
First 2 moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Neil R's rollout of his original position.

Below are contrasting variants.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 143
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 124
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---BB-DbC---dB---cBcab----:0:0:1:42:0:0:3:0:10

Variant 1
Blue has his 3pt instead of his 2pt


1.Rollout18/2eq: +0.170
Player:
Opponent:
55.27% (G:9.54% B:0.23%)
44.73% (G:8.23% B:0.29%)
Conf.: กำ 0.006 (+0.163...+0.176) - [100.0%]
Duration: 3 hours 33 minutes
2.Rollout16/4 6/2eq: +0.139 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:
54.66% (G:8.65% B:0.20%)
45.34% (G:9.01% B:0.31%)
Conf.: กำ 0.006 (+0.133...+0.145) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 34 minutes
3.Rollout113/11 13/9eq: +0.132 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:
54.29% (G:9.14% B:0.21%)
45.71% (G:6.66% B:0.25%)
Conf.: กำ 0.006 (+0.126...+0.138) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 hours 44 minutes
4.Rollout16/2 4/2eq: +0.130 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:
54.46% (G:9.04% B:0.20%)
45.54% (G:8.97% B:0.32%)
Conf.: กำ 0.006 (+0.124...+0.136) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 43 minutes
5.Rollout18/4 6/4eq: +0.128 (-0.042)
Player:
Opponent:
54.39% (G:8.65% B:0.22%)
45.61% (G:9.12% B:0.31%)
Conf.: กำ 0.006 (+0.122...+0.133) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 26 minutes
6.Rollout16/2 3/1eq: +0.114 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:
53.90% (G:9.52% B:0.20%)
46.10% (G:10.22% B:0.38%)
Conf.: กำ 0.006 (+0.108...+0.120) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 25 minutes
 
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller







White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 144
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 122
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--B-B-DbC---dB---cBd-b----:0:0:1:42:0:0:3:0:10

Variant 2
Compared to the original, White is adjusted 5/6


1.Rollout18/4 6/4eq: +0.124
Player:
Opponent:
54.62% (G:8.20% B:0.20%)
45.38% (G:8.98% B:0.31%)
Conf.: กำ 0.006 (+0.118...+0.131) - [97.6%]
Duration: 2 hours 57 minutes
2.Rollout18/2eq: +0.116 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:
54.33% (G:8.21% B:0.17%)
45.67% (G:9.19% B:0.31%)
Conf.: กำ 0.006 (+0.110...+0.122) - [2.4%]
Duration: 2 hours 44 minutes
3.Rollout16/4 6/2eq: +0.100 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:
53.94% (G:8.06% B:0.17%)
46.06% (G:9.83% B:0.34%)
Conf.: กำ 0.006 (+0.094...+0.106) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 hours 50 minutes
4.Rollout113/11 13/9eq: +0.097 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:
53.31% (G:9.09% B:0.19%)
46.69% (G:6.37% B:0.25%)
Conf.: กำ 0.006 (+0.091...+0.103) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 hours 05 minutes
 
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller







White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 136
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 122
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--B-B-DbC---cB---cBdab----:0:0:1:42:0:0:3:0:10

Variant 3...(technically tied)
Compared to the original, White is adjusted 13/6


1.Rollout18/4 6/4eq: -0.042
Player:
Opponent:
49.91% (G:6.96% B:0.17%)
50.09% (G:11.07% B:0.35%)
Conf.: กำ 0.006 (-0.048...-0.035) - [98.5%]
Duration: 2 hours 33 minutes
2.Rollout113/11 13/9eq: -0.051 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:
49.32% (G:8.60% B:0.23%)
50.68% (G:8.44% B:0.30%)
Conf.: กำ 0.006 (-0.057...-0.045) - [1.5%]
Duration: 2 hours 52 minutes
3.Rollout18/2eq: -0.057 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:
49.60% (G:6.84% B:0.17%)
50.40% (G:11.19% B:0.34%)
Conf.: กำ 0.006 (-0.063...-0.051) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 18 minutes
4.Rollout16/4 6/2eq: -0.069 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:
49.33% (G:6.28% B:0.15%)
50.67% (G:11.85% B:0.36%)
Conf.: กำ 0.007 (-0.076...-0.062) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 08 minutes
5.Rollout28/6 8/4eq: -0.110 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:
47.95% (G:7.48% B:0.19%)
52.05% (G:11.05% B:0.35%)
Conf.: กำ 0.012 (-0.122...-0.098) - [0.0%]
Duration: 31 minutes 34 seconds
 
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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