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31P-55P-44B-63R. Cube action at 3a-3a?

Posted By: scotty
Date: Saturday, 5 December 2015, at 2:43 a.m.

In Response To: 31P-55P-44B-63R. Cube action at 3a-3a? (John O'Hagan)

I'm late, I know, the rollout has been posted already, but I haven't looked at it.

I'm in the early stages of learning, and this is the sort of problem I have been looking at lately, so I'll take the challenge and learn from my mistakes.

Blue opened with a 31 which produces about 54.something wins and about 18 gammons. Blue then followed with 44, improving the game substantially. By rough estimation, making the opponent's 5 point reduces whites gammons to about 5%, and blue now has over 20% gammons.

Raw take point for both players is about 30%, add in cube revig, and estimate it at 26%. Gammon price for both players is .77. Blue is net about 15 gammons which adjusts white's takepoint by 11 games to 37. If blue has 63 wins, this is a double drop, and I suspect blue does.

Double/Drop Now, I'll look at the rollout. Thanks for posting this.

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