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Rollout

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Tuesday, 15 December 2015, at 8:42 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout (Timothy Chow)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 110
3 point match
pip: 155
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b-B-BBB-----E--a-acbbbbB-:1:1:1:64:0:0:0:3:10

Original Position


1.Rollout113/9 13/7eq: +0.295
Player:
Opponent:		55.35% (G:11.33% B:1.03%)
44.65% (G:19.15% B:7.35%)		Conf.: � 0.009 (+0.286...+0.304) - [100.0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 55 seconds
2.Rollout124/18* 13/9eq: +0.240 (-0.055)
Player:
Opponent:		55.60% (G:15.95% B:3.04%)
44.40% (G:27.90% B:2.10%)		Conf.: � 0.011 (+0.229...+0.251) - [0.0%]
Duration: 18 minutes 10 seconds
3.Rollout124/18* 18/14eq: +0.193 (-0.102)
Player:
Opponent:		54.32% (G:14.06% B:2.09%)
45.68% (G:27.26% B:1.33%)		Conf.: � 0.011 (+0.182...+0.204) - [0.0%]
Duration: 17 minutes 39 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Tim's rollout of the original position.

Below are three variants that contrast the original.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 113
3 point match
pip: 155
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b-B-BBB-----E--b-abbbbbB-:1:1:1:64:0:0:0:3:10

Variant 1
Compared to the original, White is adjusted by 6/9


1.Rollout124/18* 18/14eq: +0.331
Player:
Opponent:		57.75% (G:14.89% B:2.10%)
42.25% (G:22.26% B:1.05%)		Conf.: กำ 0.010 (+0.321...+0.342) - [100.0%]
Duration: 58 minutes 35 seconds
2.Rollout113/9 13/7eq: +0.254 (-0.077)
Player:
Opponent:		53.79% (G:10.54% B:0.96%)
46.21% (G:19.64% B:6.01%)		Conf.: กำ 0.010 (+0.244...+0.264) - [0.0%]
Duration: 46 minutes 17 seconds
3.Rollout124/18* 13/9eq: +0.238 (-0.093)
Player:
Opponent:		55.22% (G:15.12% B:2.26%)
44.78% (G:26.29% B:2.76%)		Conf.: กำ 0.010 (+0.227...+0.248) - [0.0%]
Duration: 56 minutes 49 seconds
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 110
3 point match
pip: 147
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b-B-CBB-----D--a-acbbbbB-:1:1:1:64:0:0:0:3:10

Variant 2
Compared to the original, Blue is adjusted by 13/5


1.Rollout124/18* 13/9eq: +0.310
Player:
Opponent:		57.29% (G:18.40% B:3.77%)
42.71% (G:25.33% B:1.96%)		Conf.: กำ 0.005 (+0.305...+0.315) - [100.0%]
Duration: 3 hours 51 minutes
2.Rollout124/18* 18/14eq: +0.288 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		56.72% (G:16.20% B:2.72%)
43.28% (G:24.16% B:0.99%)		Conf.: กำ 0.005 (+0.283...+0.293) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 hours 56 minutes
3.Rollout113/9 13/7eq: +0.276 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:		54.67% (G:12.24% B:1.13%)
45.33% (G:17.85% B:5.07%)		Conf.: กำ 0.004 (+0.271...+0.280) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 55 minutes
 
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 110
3 point match
pip: 149
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-bBB--BB-----E--a-acbbbbB-:1:1:1:64:0:0:0:3:10

Variant 3
Compared to the original, Blue has his 2pt instead of 5pt


1.Rollout124/18* 18/14eq: -0.147
Player:
Opponent:		44.48% (G:10.75% B:2.38%)
55.52% (G:32.26% B:1.19%)		Conf.: กำ 0.009 (-0.156...-0.138) - [100.0%]
Duration: 37 minutes 07 seconds
2.Rollout124/18* 13/9eq: -0.205 (-0.058)
Player:
Opponent:		43.01% (G:12.05% B:2.34%)
56.99% (G:34.19% B:3.75%)		Conf.: กำ 0.009 (-0.213...-0.196) - [0.0%]
Duration: 36 minutes 14 seconds
3.Rollout113/9 13/7eq: -0.215 (-0.069)
Player:
Opponent:		39.31% (G:7.59% B:0.71%)
60.69% (G:25.00% B:7.97%)		Conf.: กำ 0.009 (-0.224...-0.206) - [0.0%]
Duration: 23 minutes 49 seconds
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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