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Rollout

Posted By: Neil Robins
Date: Monday, 21 December 2015, at 4:31 p.m.

In Response To: XG making sense? (Neil Robins)

The five top plays, all missed by XG, are clearly better than anything else.





White is Neil

score: 4
pip: 101
7 point match
pip: 100
score: 2

Blue is XG Roller+
XGID=-CBG-aa---------a-abcbbbBA:2:1:-1:11:4:2:0:7:10
Blue to play 11
1.Rollout120/18 9/7eq: +1.169
Player:
Opponent:		97.14% (G:34.19% B:6.40%)
2.86% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ± 0.000 (+1.169...+1.169) - [97.1%]
Duration: 13 minutes 09 seconds
2.Rollout119/17 9/7eq: +1.169 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		97.12% (G:34.18% B:6.36%)
2.88% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ± 0.000 (+1.169...+1.169) - [2.9%]
Duration: 14 minutes 24 seconds
3.Rollout119/18 9/7 5/4eq: +1.169 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		97.12% (G:34.13% B:6.41%)
2.88% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ± 0.000 (+1.168...+1.169) - [0.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 52 seconds
4.Rollout120/19 9/7 5/4eq: +1.168 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		97.12% (G:34.08% B:6.38%)
2.88% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ± 0.000 (+1.168...+1.168) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 46 seconds
5.Rollout29/7 5/3eq: +1.163 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		96.93% (G:33.84% B:6.02%)
3.07% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ± 0.001 (+1.162...+1.164) - [0.0%]
Duration: 47.4 seconds
6.Rollout220/16eq: +1.150 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:		96.35% (G:33.72% B:5.99%)
3.65% (G:0.12% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ± 0.001 (+1.149...+1.152) - [0.0%]
Duration: 45.0 seconds
7.playedRollout220/17 19/18eq: +1.150 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:		96.38% (G:33.60% B:6.29%)
3.62% (G:0.16% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ± 0.001 (+1.149...+1.151) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 02 seconds
8.Rollout219/15eq: +1.150 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:		96.39% (G:33.52% B:5.88%)
3.61% (G:0.09% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ± 0.001 (+1.149...+1.151) - [0.0%]
Duration: 31.6 seconds
9.Rollout220/18 9/8 5/4eq: +1.150 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		96.35% (G:33.59% B:6.10%)
3.65% (G:0.14% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ± 0.001 (+1.148...+1.151) - [0.0%]
Duration: 36.6 seconds
10.Rollout220/17 5/4eq: +1.149 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		96.33% (G:33.62% B:6.22%)
3.67% (G:0.19% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ± 0.001 (+1.148...+1.151) - [0.0%]
Duration: 38.7 seconds
11.Rollout219/16 5/4eq: +1.149 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		96.32% (G:33.63% B:5.80%)
3.68% (G:0.16% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ± 0.001 (+1.148...+1.150) - [0.0%]
Duration: 40.7 seconds
12.xgRollout220/17 9/8eq: +1.149 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		96.33% (G:33.54% B:5.95%)
3.67% (G:0.16% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ± 0.001 (+1.148...+1.150) - [0.0%]
Duration: 34.6 seconds
13.Rollout219/16 9/8eq: +1.149 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		96.30% (G:33.60% B:5.80%)
3.70% (G:0.14% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ± 0.001 (+1.147...+1.150) - [0.0%]
Duration: 43.3 seconds
14.Rollout219/17 9/8 5/4eq: +1.148 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		96.33% (G:33.50% B:6.11%)
3.67% (G:0.14% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ± 0.001 (+1.147...+1.150) - [0.0%]
Duration: 36.8 seconds
15.Rollout220/17 7/6eq: +1.148 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		96.37% (G:33.31% B:5.86%)
3.63% (G:0.04% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ± 0.001 (+1.147...+1.149) - [0.0%]
Duration: 43.8 seconds
1 82944 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 71284
First 2 moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 71284
First 2 moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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