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BGonline.org Forums
A Classic Choice
Posted By: hominid In Response To: A Classic Choice (Taper_Mike)
Date: Sunday, 27 December 2015, at 12:11 p.m.
The visual position posses the problem to hit or not. The reality is the problem is what is the best way to contain the runner. Having noted that the chance of being hit back whether one either hits or does not is the same calls for a proactive play, an attempt to make the prime. If blue was to hit it would be some time before the point could be made secure. In the event white was to hit theres still plenty of play for blue whose home board is likely to hold good 21/11.
Simple sums
white fails to hit 25/36=70%
Blue covers 23/36=64%
70 x64=44.8% secures a game winning position a chance not to be ignored. If blue held the cube it could finish here .
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