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Double Aces at DMP

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Tuesday, 29 December 2015, at 8:04 a.m.

In Response To: Double Aces at DMP (Stick)





White is eXtremeGammon

score: 0
pip: 107
1 point match
pip: 138
score: 0

Blue is 1 Pointer ELO Stats
XGID=--aBCBB-AA---A---ccbccB-A-:0:0:1:11:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 11

I am not too sure about this one.

Jumping out with any 6 that comes by looks like a priority. That being the case, it behooves Blue to move a spare in to escape position. Otherwise, he will face a tough and risky choice if he rolls a 6 anytime soon. After looking at a number of plays that do not move up, I finally rejected them all.

So, with only two aces left, hitting and switching, 3/2*(2), seems pretty good. White gets 6 return shots (63, 62, 53). Another possibility is to hit loose, 4/2*, but that would leave 11 returns.

A completely different strategy is to make the broken prime, 9/8, and then choose between 13/12 and 4/3 for the final ace. This, however, would give White 11 powerful 5s.

Hit-and-switch is my instinct.

24/22, 3/2*(2)

Mike

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