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Is this a cube decision? ROLLOUT

Posted By: Keene
Date: Saturday, 2 January 2016, at 5:46 p.m.

In Response To: Is this a cube decision? (Keene)

It is!!!

		White is Allen Tish score: 3 pip: 171 9 point match pip: 145 score: 5 Blue is Keene Marin
XGID=-aa-aBE-B---eE---b-c---bA-:0:0:1:00:5:3:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	67.500% (G:22.608% B:2.869%)	67.022% (G:23.896% B:5.578%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	32.500% (G:7.200% B:0.250%)	32.978% (G:7.576% B:0.516%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.5996	+1.3417
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0.8146 (-0.0356)	±0.0162 (+0.7985..+0.8308)
Double/Take:	+0.8503	±0.0221 (+0.8282..+0.8724)
Double/Pass:	+1.0000 (+0.1497)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		99.5%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 14 minutes 37 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

I did think about it, but decided that I didn't have enough builders to really go blasting following the double, so I chose not to double.

K

Messages In This Thread

• Is this a cube decision?
  Keene -- Thursday, 31 December 2015, at 7:48 p.m.
  • Is this a cube decision?
    Sean Garber -- Thursday, 31 December 2015, at 7:59 p.m.
  • Is this a cube decision?
    Karol Szczerek -- Thursday, 31 December 2015, at 10:01 p.m.
  • Is this a cube decision?
    hominid -- Thursday, 31 December 2015, at 10:14 p.m.
  • Is this a cube decision?
    benf -- Thursday, 31 December 2015, at 11:19 p.m.
  • Is this a cube decision?
    Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 31 December 2015, at 11:57 p.m.
    • Is this a cube decision?
      neilkaz -- Friday, 1 January 2016, at 1:59 a.m.
  • Is this a cube decision?
    johnk -- Friday, 1 January 2016, at 12:52 a.m.
  • Is this a cube decision? ROLLOUT
    Keene -- Saturday, 2 January 2016, at 5:46 p.m.
    • Variants
      Nack Ballard -- Tuesday, 5 January 2016, at 12:13 a.m.