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Another Variant

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Sunday, 3 January 2016, at 2:16 a.m.

In Response To: A Classic Choice – Rollout & Variants (Taper_Mike)

Thanks, Mike, for the great analysis in this thread.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 92
Unlimited Game
pip: 120
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aBBBBBA--A------c-cbCdb--:1:-1:1:64:0:0:0:0:10

Original Position


1.Rollout121/11eq: +0.2715
Player:
Opponent:
68.72% (G:9.11% B:0.26%)
31.28% (G:11.54% B:0.26%)
Conf.: ¡Ó0.0024 (+0.2690...+0.2739) - [100.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 38 seconds
2.Rollout110/6 7/1* eq: +0.1807 (-0.0908)
Player:
Opponent:
64.76% (G:8.86% B:0.16%)
35.24% (G:9.29% B:0.15%)
Conf.: ¡Ó0.0030 (+0.1776...+0.1837) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 02 seconds
3.Rollout121/15 7/3eq: +0.1365 (-0.1350)
Player:
Opponent:
63.08% (G:7.14% B:0.19%)
36.92% (G:6.82% B:0.12%)
Conf.: ¡Ó0.0030 (+0.1335...+0.1395) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 11 seconds
4.Rollout121/15 10/6eq: +0.1139 (-0.1576)
Player:
Opponent:
62.87% (G:8.05% B:0.21%)
37.13% (G:11.18% B:0.20%)
Conf.: ¡Ó0.0027 (+0.1112...+0.1166) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 01 second
 
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 7671034
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Mike's rollout of the original position.

Below is a contrasting variant. (Sorry to use an XGR++ eval instead of a rollout, but I've been falling behind.) After playing A (Attack, 10/6 7/1*), the same four cracking numbers (44, 42 and 22) exist as in the original position -- thought you might find it interesting.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 84
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 120
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aBBBBBA--A------c-c-Cdbb-:1:-1:1:64:0:0:3:0:10

Variant Position
Compared to the original, White is adjusted by 5/1(2)


1.XG Roller++10/6 7/1* eq: +0.356
Player:
Opponent:
71.65% (G:9.97% B:0.18%)
28.35% (G:7.08% B:0.05%)
2.XG Roller++21/11eq: +0.322 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:
71.01% (G:10.10% B:0.31%)
28.99% (G:10.78% B:0.12%)
3.XG Roller++21/15 7/3eq: +0.230 (-0.126)
Player:
Opponent:
66.41% (G:8.08% B:0.21%)
33.59% (G:5.70% B:0.06%)
4.XG Roller++21/15 10/6eq: +0.197 (-0.159)
Player:
Opponent:
66.43% (G:8.41% B:0.23%)
33.57% (G:9.71% B:0.08%)

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