Variants

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Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Monday, 4 January 2016, at 4:29 p.m.

In Response To: OTB & RO (John O'Hagan)

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 106

1 point match

pip: 69
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-BDD-BB--------bbbcbca---A:0:0:1:22:0:0:0:1:10
Original Position

1. Rollout¹ Bar/21* 6/4 3/1 eq: -0.789
Player:
Opponent: 10.54% (G:1.65% B:0.00%)
89.46% (G:17.07% B:1.10%) Conf.: � 0.004 (-0.793...-0.785) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 17 seconds
2. Rollout¹ Bar/21* 6/2 eq: -0.804 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent: 9.81% (G:1.21% B:0.01%)
90.19% (G:9.86% B:0.46%) Conf.: � 0.004 (-0.808...-0.800) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 45 seconds
3. Rollout¹ Bar/21* 5/1 eq: -0.807 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent: 9.65% (G:1.30% B:0.01%)
90.35% (G:11.81% B:0.39%) Conf.: � 0.004 (-0.811...-0.803) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 53 seconds
4. Rollout¹ Bar/23 6/4(2) 3/1 eq: -0.809 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent: 9.57% (G:1.08% B:0.00%)
90.43% (G:5.23% B:0.10%) Conf.: � 0.003 (-0.811...-0.806) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 15 seconds
5. Rollout¹ Bar/21* 6/4 5/3 eq: -0.811 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent: 9.44% (G:1.25% B:0.02%)
90.56% (G:24.02% B:2.67%) Conf.: � 0.004 (-0.815...-0.808) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 11 seconds
6. Rollout¹ Bar/21* 6/4(2) eq: -0.813 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent: 9.36% (G:1.12% B:0.01%)
90.64% (G:9.24% B:0.39%) Conf.: � 0.004 (-0.817...-0.809) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 28 seconds
7. Rollout¹ Bar/23 6/4(2) 5/3 eq: -0.820 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent: 8.99% (G:0.91% B:0.00%)
91.01% (G:5.22% B:0.13%) Conf.: � 0.003 (-0.823...-0.818) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 52 seconds
8. Rollout¹ Bar/21* 5/3(2) eq: -0.832 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent: 8.38% (G:1.19% B:0.01%)
91.62% (G:5.99% B:0.12%) Conf.: � 0.004 (-0.836...-0.828) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 09 seconds

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is John's rollout of the original position.
Below are two variants that contrast the original and each other.
Nack

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 100

1 point match

pip: 69
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-BDD-BB--------bbbbbbab--A:0:0:1:22:0:0:0:1:10
Variant 1
Compared to the original, White has made her 3pt

1. Rollout¹ Bar/21* 5/1 eq: -0.768
Player:
Opponent: 11.58% (G:2.49% B:0.01%)
88.42% (G:9.75% B:0.35%) Conf.: ¡Ó 0.002 (-0.770...-0.766) - [57.7%]
Duration: 36 minutes 41 seconds
2. Rollout¹ Bar/21* 6/2 eq: -0.769 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent: 11.56% (G:2.45% B:0.01%)
88.44% (G:8.59% B:0.19%) Conf.: ¡Ó 0.002 (-0.771...-0.767) - [42.3%]
Duration: 33 minutes 07 seconds
3. Rollout¹ Bar/21* 3/1(2) eq: -0.780 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent: 11.01% (G:2.43% B:0.02%)
88.99% (G:7.77% B:0.21%) Conf.: ¡Ó 0.002 (-0.782...-0.778) - [0.0%]
Duration: 34 minutes 31 seconds
4. Rollout¹ Bar/21* 5/3(2) eq: -0.783 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent: 10.84% (G:2.18% B:0.01%)
89.16% (G:4.94% B:0.11%) Conf.: ¡Ó 0.002 (-0.785...-0.781) - [0.0%]
Duration: 25 minutes 24 seconds
5. Rollout¹ Bar/21* 6/4 3/1 eq: -0.785 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent: 10.77% (G:2.14% B:0.02%)
89.23% (G:18.62% B:0.98%) Conf.: ¡Ó 0.002 (-0.786...-0.783) - [0.0%]
Duration: 37 minutes 49 seconds
6. Rollout¹ Bar/21* 6/4(2) eq: -0.788 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent: 10.60% (G:2.05% B:0.01%)
89.40% (G:6.63% B:0.14%) Conf.: ¡Ó 0.002 (-0.790...-0.786) - [0.0%]
Duration: 30 minutes 55 seconds

¹ 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 100

1 point match

pip: 69
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-BDD-BB--------bbbbbca--aA:0:0:1:22:0:0:0:1:10
Variant 2
Compared to the original, White is adjusted 7/1

1. Rollout¹ Bar/23 6/4(2) 3/1 eq: -0.665
Player:
Opponent: 16.75% (G:2.63% B:0.02%)
83.25% (G:4.28% B:0.09%) Conf.: ¡Ó 0.002 (-0.666...-0.663) - [100.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 25 seconds
2. Rollout¹ Bar/23 6/4(2) 5/3 eq: -0.680 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent: 16.02% (G:2.54% B:0.01%)
83.98% (G:3.63% B:0.07%) Conf.: ¡Ó 0.002 (-0.681...-0.678) - [0.0%]
Duration: 19 minutes 14 seconds
3. Rollout² Bar/21* 6/2 eq: -0.703 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent: 14.84% (G:2.43% B:0.02%)
85.16% (G:8.74% B:0.17%) Conf.: ¡Ó 0.005 (-0.708...-0.698) - [0.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 27 seconds
4. Rollout² Bar/21* 6/4 3/1 eq: -0.705 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent: 14.76% (G:2.27% B:0.02%)
85.24% (G:15.26% B:0.56%) Conf.: ¡Ó 0.005 (-0.709...-0.700) - [0.0%]
Duration: 18 minutes 19 seconds
5. Rollout² Bar/21* 5/3(2) eq: -0.707 (-0.042)
Player:
Opponent: 14.64% (G:2.95% B:0.02%)
85.36% (G:4.01% B:0.08%) Conf.: ¡Ó 0.006 (-0.713...-0.702) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 27 seconds
6. Rollout² Bar/23 6/2 3/1 eq: -0.708 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent: 14.62% (G:2.08% B:0.01%)
85.38% (G:4.56% B:0.08%) Conf.: ¡Ó 0.003 (-0.711...-0.705) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 54 seconds
7. Rollout² Bar/21* 5/1 eq: -0.709 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent: 14.55% (G:2.98% B:0.02%)
85.45% (G:9.11% B:0.21%) Conf.: ¡Ó 0.005 (-0.714...-0.704) - [0.0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 16 seconds
8. Rollout² Bar/23 5/3 5/1 eq: -0.710 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent: 14.49% (G:2.08% B:0.01%)
85.51% (G:4.04% B:0.08%) Conf.: ¡Ó 0.003 (-0.713...-0.707) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 28 seconds

¹ 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 65876923
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

² 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 65876923
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

22 at DMP in this bad position
John O'Hagan -- Saturday, 2 January 2016, at 1:24 a.m.
- 22 at DMP in this bad position
  scotty -- Saturday, 2 January 2016, at 3:14 a.m.
  - 22 at DMP in this bad position
    neilkaz -- Saturday, 2 January 2016, at 7:44 a.m.
- 22 at DMP in this bad position
  neilkaz -- Saturday, 2 January 2016, at 4:25 a.m.
  - 22 at DMP in this bad position
    Taper_Mike -- Saturday, 2 January 2016, at 12:27 p.m.
  - 22 at DMP in this bad position
    johnk -- Saturday, 2 January 2016, at 5:03 p.m.
    - 22 at DMP in this bad position
      neilkaz -- Saturday, 2 January 2016, at 6:12 p.m.
    - This sort of thing has come up before on BGO
      Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 2 January 2016, at 7:09 p.m.
- OTB & RO
  John O'Hagan -- Sunday, 3 January 2016, at 4:25 a.m.
  - OTB & RO
    Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 3 January 2016, at 7:45 p.m.
    - OTB & RO
      John O'Hagan -- Sunday, 3 January 2016, at 9:20 p.m.
  - Variants
    Nack Ballard -- Monday, 4 January 2016, at 4:29 p.m.

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