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ROLLOUT and Variant

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Tuesday, 5 January 2016, at 12:17 a.m.

In Response To: 66 to play (Keene)

		White is Allen Tish score: 3 pip: 124 9 point match pip: 154 score: 4 Blue is Keene Marin
XGID=-a----E-D---dD---abcB-b-b-:0:0:1:66:4:3:0:9:10
Original Position

1.	Rollout1	20/14(2) 13/7(2)	eq: +0.0396
	Player: Opponent: 52.13% (G:5.57% B:0.19%) 47.87% (G:7.05% B:0.10%) Conf.: �0.0099 (+0.0296...+0.0495) - [100.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 26 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/7(2) 8/2(2)	eq: -0.0359 (-0.0755)
	Player: Opponent: 49.08% (G:10.29% B:0.23%) 50.92% (G:7.33% B:0.22%) Conf.: �0.0099 (-0.0458...-0.0260) - [0.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 40 seconds
3.	Rollout1	13/7(4)	eq: -0.0881 (-0.1276)
	Player: Opponent: 48.05% (G:7.41% B:0.23%) 51.95% (G:6.01% B:0.17%) Conf.: �0.0100 (-0.0980...-0.0781) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 10 seconds
4.	Rollout1	13/1*(2)	eq: -0.1129 (-0.1525)
	Player: Opponent: 47.00% (G:10.36% B:0.15%) 53.00% (G:7.62% B:0.21%) Conf.: �0.0097 (-0.1226...-0.1032) - [0.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 56 seconds
5.	4-ply	20/14(2) 8/2(2)	eq: -0.2644 (-0.3040)
	Player: Opponent: 44.11% (G:4.58% B:0.09%) 55.89% (G:8.37% B:0.08%)
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Keene's rollout of the original position. (I added "ROLLOUT" to my subject header because he did not draw attention to it in his own follow-up header.)

Below is a variant (2 pips different) that contrasts the original.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 3 pip: 124 9 point match pip: 156 score: 4 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----D-E---dD---abcB-b-b-:0:0:1:66:4:3:0:9:10
Variant Position Compared to the original, Blue is adjusted by 6/8

1.	Rollout1	13/7(2) 8/2(2)	eq: -0.009
	Player: Opponent: 49.89% (G:10.67% B:0.26%) 50.11% (G:7.31% B:0.22%) Conf.: กำ 0.005 (-0.015...-0.004) - [100.0%] Duration: 2 hours 34 minutes
2.	Rollout1	20/14(2) 13/7(2)	eq: -0.030 (-0.020)
	Player: Opponent: 50.43% (G:5.12% B:0.16%) 49.57% (G:7.56% B:0.09%) Conf.: กำ 0.005 (-0.035...-0.025) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 hours 58 minutes
3.	Rollout2	13/7(4)	eq: -0.136 (-0.126)
	Player: Opponent: 47.07% (G:7.00% B:0.19%) 52.93% (G:6.23% B:0.14%) Conf.: กำ 0.010 (-0.145...-0.126) - [0.0%] Duration: 23 minutes 59 seconds
4.	Rollout2	13/1*(2)	eq: -0.157 (-0.148)
	Player: Opponent: 45.80% (G:10.06% B:0.26%) 54.20% (G:7.93% B:0.26%) Conf.: กำ 0.009 (-0.167...-0.148) - [0.0%] Duration: 21 minutes 26 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• 66 to play
  Keene -- Thursday, 31 December 2015, at 7:45 p.m.
  • 66 to play
    Karol Szczerek -- Thursday, 31 December 2015, at 10:17 p.m.
  • 66 to play
    Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 31 December 2015, at 11:51 p.m.
  • 66 to play
    johnk -- Friday, 1 January 2016, at 12:41 a.m.
  • 66 to play
    Keene -- Saturday, 2 January 2016, at 4:41 p.m.
    • ROLLOUT and Variant
      Nack Ballard -- Tuesday, 5 January 2016, at 12:17 a.m.