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PUZZLE: Unluckiest snake eyes

Posted By: roadkillbooks
Date: Friday, 15 January 2016, at 8:09 a.m.

In Response To: PUZZLE: Unluckiest snake eyes (Timothy Chow)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 131
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 85
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BBBBBB--AaaaaabAbAbbb----:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 93.40% (G:89.58% B:15.98%) 93.46% (G:89.63% B:15.51%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 6.60% (G:0.44% B:0.01%) 6.54% (G:0.40% B:0.01%)
Cubeless Equities +1.919 +3.833
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+1.938
Redouble/Take:+3.792 (+1.854)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (-0.938)
Best Cube action: Too good to redouble / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 33.6%

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Then





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 81
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 131
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-BBBBCB---aaaaabAbAbbb----:1:1:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 85.19% (G:15.33% B:0.45%) 85.19% (G:15.33% B:0.45%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 14.81% (G:1.35% B:0.01%) 14.81% (G:1.35% B:0.01%)
Cubeless Equities +0.848 +1.696
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.797 (-0.203)
Redouble/Take:+1.594 (+0.594)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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