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BGonline.org Forums
PUZZLE: Unluckiest snake eyes
Posted By: Nack Ballard In Response To: PUZZLE: Unluckiest snake eyes (roadkillbooks)
Date: Friday, 15 January 2016, at 2:30 p.m.
I had pretty much the same idea as Roadklllbooks. I wasn't sure my equities were right because the cube action of the second position is coming up with "Invalid Cube," but I'll post the position pair anyway (below).
[EMG loss of 2.940, according to XGR++ evaluation.]
Nack
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 120Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 108
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=-BBBBBB-a-a-a-aaaaacAbAbA-:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take Player Winning Chances: 94.88% (G:91.09% B:65.93%) 94.90% (G:91.18% B:66.36%) Opponent Winning Chances: 5.12% (G:0.72% B:0.04%) 5.10% (G:0.72% B:0.04%) Cubeless Equities +2.460 +4.931 Cubeful Equities No redouble: +2.472 Redouble/Take: +4.886 (+2.414) Redouble/Pass: +1.000 (-1.472) Best Cube action: Too good to redouble / Pass Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 37.9%
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 120Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 104
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=-BBCBC--a-a-a-aaaaacAbAbA-:1:1:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10 White on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take Player Winning Chances: 72.57% (G:25.93% B:1.51%) 72.57% (G:25.93% B:1.51%) Opponent Winning Chances: 27.43% (G:16.44% B:4.27%) 27.43% (G:16.44% B:4.27%) Cubeless Equities +0.519 +1.037 Cubeful Equities No redouble: +0.468 (-0.468) Redouble/Take: +0.936 Redouble/Pass: +1.000 (+0.064) Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
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