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I found the 2nd best play, can you do better?

Posted By: Colin Owen
Date: Wednesday, 27 January 2016, at 1:50 p.m.

In Response To: I found the 2nd best play, can you do better? (Michael Depreli)

I think you may have found the second best play on the cube decision as well.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 117
7 point match
pip: 119
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---aBBB-DA-BbB-a-aadbab---:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 71.325% (G:8.789% B:0.347%) 72.344% (G:8.740% B:0.403%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 28.675% (G:4.749% B:0.144%) 27.656% (G:5.316% B:0.180%)
Cubeless Equities +0.4700 +0.9814
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.7382 (-0.0657)±0.0074 (+0.7309..+0.7456)
Double/Take:+0.8039±0.0122 (+0.7917..+0.8161)
Double/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.1961)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 48986906
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 3 minutes 11 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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