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I found the 2nd best play, can you do better?

Posted By: Colin Owen
Date: Thursday, 28 January 2016, at 12:22 a.m.

In Response To: I found the 2nd best play, can you do better? (Bob Koca)

Looking at 1) here, surely you have to weigh the probability of the take/pass with the gains/losses?

Against a player of equal strength, therefore, the rollout suggests you lose practically nothing with D/T, it's a coin toss. Against a weaker player it depends how much weaker of course. I'm not qualified to go into "Can a Fish..." Elo type considerations here, but it seems to me that the gain from D/P is a huge carrot. And a very significant number of weak players will pass this.

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