I know some were worried about the strength of the bot in playing this out so I jacked up the settings and expanded the move filter. It's only 324 trials and not near stat. sig. but what it shows us for certain is that 15/11 is a clear error. I think a lot of people would have played this in order to better cover and make our bar point.
The second rollout is normal every day settings and cuts down on the variance a bit fwiw.
        
 
      
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 17 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 182
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=----BBB-B----A-A-A-A--agC-:1:1:1:42:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 42 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/20 24/22* | eq: +0.300 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 59.48% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
40.52% (G:13.05% B:1.20%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.285...+0.316) - [88.7%]
Duration: 5 hours 20 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/22* 19/15 | eq: +0.287 (-0.014) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 59.24% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
40.76% (G:13.49% B:1.27%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.272...+0.302) - [10.2%]
Duration: 4 hours 43 minutes |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 24/22* 17/13 | eq: +0.278 (-0.022) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 58.95% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
41.05% (G:13.93% B:1.32%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.264...+0.292) - [1.1%]
Duration: 4 hours 38 minutes |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 24/22* 15/11 | eq: +0.227 (-0.073) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 58.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
41.71% (G:15.09% B:1.75%) | Conf.: ± 0.017 (+0.211...+0.244) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 hours 24 minutes |
|
| |
1 324 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 73932762
Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller+
Search interval: Huge
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.206.pre-release
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 17 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 182
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=----BBB-B----A-A-A-A--agC-:1:1:1:42:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 42 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/20 24/22* | eq: +0.263 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 58.30% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
41.70% (G:13.55% B:1.14%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.256...+0.270) - [91.6%]
Duration: 27 minutes 54 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/22* 19/15 | eq: +0.256 (-0.007) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 58.50% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
41.50% (G:13.92% B:1.62%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.250...+0.263) - [8.0%]
Duration: 21 minutes 31 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 24/22* 17/13 | eq: +0.251 (-0.012) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 58.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
41.62% (G:13.99% B:1.56%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.244...+0.258) - [0.4%]
Duration: 18 minutes 52 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout2 | 24/22* 15/11 | eq: +0.209 (-0.054) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 57.48% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
42.52% (G:15.59% B:2.24%) | Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.200...+0.219) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 35 seconds |
|
| |
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 14787630
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 14787630
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.206.pre-release