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ROLLOUT Redouble Action

Posted By: Carlo Melzi
Date: Tuesday, 9 February 2016, at 1:35 a.m.

In Response To: Redouble Action (Carlo Melzi)

Here is what I have for now: Take confidence is only 74%. The take vs pass decision is basically borderline, I won't spend more time on this rollout.

OTB I guessed this to be a clear Take, as it seemed to me many things can go bad for Blue and cube ownership could be a great weapon here. I guess I guessed wrong.

		White is Player 2 score: 310 pip: 125 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 140 score: 318 Blue is Player 1
XGID=b-aACBC-BA--------bbbabcC-:1:1:1:00:318:310:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No redouble	Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances:	65.91% (G:38.02% B:4.73%)	66.03% (G:38.06% B:4.75%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	34.09% (G:11.08% B:1.03%)	33.97% (G:10.97% B:0.95%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.625	+1.259
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:	+0.860 (-0.135)	±0.010 (+0.849..+0.870)
Redouble/Take:	+0.995	±0.016 (+0.979..+1.010)
Redouble/Pass:	+1.000 (+0.005)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
3907 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		74.0%
Duration: 1 hour 04 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Messages In This Thread

• Redouble Action
  Carlo Melzi -- Sunday, 7 February 2016, at 4:38 p.m.
  • Redouble Action
    Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 7 February 2016, at 9:51 p.m.
  • Redouble Action
    johnk -- Sunday, 7 February 2016, at 11:04 p.m.
  • Redouble Action
    Keene -- Monday, 8 February 2016, at 5:44 p.m.
  • Redouble Action
    neilkaz -- Monday, 8 February 2016, at 6:11 p.m.
    • Redouble Action
      johnk -- Monday, 8 February 2016, at 8:39 p.m.
  • ROLLOUT Redouble Action
    Carlo Melzi -- Tuesday, 9 February 2016, at 1:35 a.m.
    • ROLLOUT Redouble Action
      Florin Popa -- Sunday, 14 February 2016, at 10:19 p.m.