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OLM 20160216C The Prime Factors Rollout

Posted By: Jason Lee
Date: Sunday, 21 February 2016, at 5:11 p.m.

In Response To: OLM 20160216C The Prime Factors (Jason Lee)

Last vote

8
Double
0
No Double
7
Pass
1
Take





White is The Prime Factors

score: 6
pip: 141
11 point match
pip: 169
score: 7

Blue is The Dilly Builders
XGID=-aaD-bCaC----C--bb-bbb-A-A:0:0:-1:00:6:7:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 70.05% (G:26.66% B:1.59%) 70.21% (G:27.29% B:2.80%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 29.95% (G:8.55% B:0.59%) 29.79% (G:8.93% B:0.86%)
Cubeless Equities +0.676 +1.655
Cubeful Equities
No double:+1.026±0.013 (+1.012..+1.039)
Double/Take:+1.343 (+0.317)±0.018 (+1.325..+1.361)
played Double/Pass:+1.000 (-0.026)
Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 7.5%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2694378
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 4 hours 12 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2


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