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PvP take action

Posted By: Dan Wittkopp
Date: Monday, 22 February 2016, at 11:41 a.m.

In Response To: PvP take action (Karol Szczerek)

I would pass.

OTB my thinking is white rolls a 5 11/36 and wins 9 of those 11.

Blue shuffles checkers in home board with his roll. About 1/3 of the time white rolls the needed 5. 1/3 x 25 = 8 and white wins 7 of those.

Of the 17 remaining games whites stronger prime makes him the favorite winning 2/3 of these or 12.

Summing my estimates white wins 9+7+12 = 28 leaving blue with 8.

I don't see many gammons, but the small % of gammons favor white.

Small pass.

Messages In This Thread

• PvP take action
  Karol Szczerek -- Sunday, 21 February 2016, at 9:35 p.m.
  • PvP take action
    Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 21 February 2016, at 10:27 p.m.
    • PvP take action
      Florin Popa -- Monday, 22 February 2016, at 11:28 a.m.
  • PvP take action
    Keene -- Sunday, 21 February 2016, at 11:37 p.m.
  • PvP take action
    Dan Wittkopp -- Monday, 22 February 2016, at 11:41 a.m.
  • PvP take action
    Casper Van der Tak -- Monday, 22 February 2016, at 2:30 p.m.
  • PvP take action - OTB, RO, Variant
    Karol Szczerek -- Monday, 22 February 2016, at 10:13 p.m.
    • PvP take action - OTB, RO, Variant
      Casper Van der Tak -- Monday, 22 February 2016, at 10:47 p.m.
    • PvP take action - OTB, RO, Variant
      Keene -- Monday, 22 February 2016, at 11:01 p.m.