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My take on the Giants list

Posted By: Havard Raddum
Date: Tuesday, 23 February 2016, at 8:22 a.m.

In Response To: My take on the Giants list (Matt Cohn-Geier)

To add to that, I have actually done such an experiment myself once. It was for a festive gathering at my kids' school, and one of the things was to guess how many small chocolates there were in a jar. (winner got the whole jar). The correct answer was 302, and I collected all the about 70 papers with answers afterwards to see what the average was. It was 299 point something, about 1% off.

I remember when reading about the wisdom of the crowd thing that an important assumption for it to work is that no voter knows how the others vote. Knowing what others think will create a bias in your own estimate. This assumption should mostly hold in a how-many-in-a-jar guess, and may or may not be true for the Giants voting.

Messages In This Thread

• My take on the Giants list
  Matt Cohn-Geier -- Monday, 22 February 2016, at 12:02 p.m.
  • My take on the Giants list
    MishyPoo -- Monday, 22 February 2016, at 12:50 p.m.
    • My take on the Giants list
      Colin Owen -- Monday, 22 February 2016, at 2:01 p.m.
    • My take on the Giants list
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 23 February 2016, at 2:12 a.m.
      • My take on the Giants list
        Casper Van der Tak -- Tuesday, 23 February 2016, at 7:11 a.m.
        • Wisdom of the Crowds for Ranking
          Casper Van der Tak -- Tuesday, 23 February 2016, at 10:23 a.m.
  • My take on the Giants list
    Rick Janowski -- Monday, 22 February 2016, at 1:38 p.m.
  • My take on the Giants list
    Ken Larsen -- Monday, 22 February 2016, at 2:11 p.m.
  • Question about Giants voting
    Ken Larsen -- Monday, 22 February 2016, at 2:19 p.m.
    • Question about Giants voting
      Rick Janowski -- Monday, 22 February 2016, at 2:28 p.m.
      • Question about Giants voting
        Ken Larsen -- Monday, 22 February 2016, at 2:42 p.m.
        • Question about Giants voting
          Rick Janowski -- Monday, 22 February 2016, at 3:37 p.m.
          • Question about Giants voting
            Ken Larsen -- Monday, 22 February 2016, at 4:03 p.m.
            • Question about Giants voting
              Matt Cohn-Geier -- Monday, 22 February 2016, at 8:03 p.m.
              • Question about Giants voting
                Ken Larsen -- Monday, 22 February 2016, at 8:30 p.m.
  • My take on the Giants list
    Albert Steg -- Monday, 22 February 2016, at 5:20 p.m.
  • My take on the Giants list
    Taper_Mike -- Monday, 22 February 2016, at 9:18 p.m.
    • My take on the Giants list
      Rick Janowski -- Monday, 22 February 2016, at 9:51 p.m.
    • My take on the Giants list
      Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 23 February 2016, at 12:26 a.m.
      • My take on the Giants list
        Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 23 February 2016, at 12:57 a.m.
      • My take on the Giants list
        Taper_Mike -- Tuesday, 23 February 2016, at 9:59 a.m.
        • My take on the Giants list
          Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 23 February 2016, at 4:10 p.m.
  • My take on the Giants list
    Christian Munk-Christensen -- Monday, 22 February 2016, at 10:49 p.m.
    • My take on the Giants list
      Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 23 February 2016, at 12:56 a.m.
    • My take on the Giants list
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 23 February 2016, at 1:54 a.m.
      • My take on the Giants list
        Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 23 February 2016, at 3:07 a.m.
        • My take on the Giants list
          Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 23 February 2016, at 4:03 a.m.
          • john.stryker@gmail.com
            John Stryker -- Tuesday, 23 February 2016, at 4:40 a.m.
      • My take on the Giants list
        Havard Raddum -- Tuesday, 23 February 2016, at 8:22 a.m.
      • My take on the Giants list
        Dorn Bishop -- Wednesday, 24 February 2016, at 12:27 a.m.
  • My take on the Giants list
    Jake Jacobs -- Tuesday, 23 February 2016, at 1:33 a.m.
  • My take on the Giants list
    Florin Popa -- Wednesday, 24 February 2016, at 11:28 a.m.