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Quizz: Find the error in logic

Posted By: scotty
Date: Thursday, 25 February 2016, at 4:10 p.m.

In Response To: Definition of 'Gammonish'? (Casper Van der Tak)

if my above formula for 3a MWC is correct, then it would imply that 3a begins the game with 0 gammon chances.

We know from the MET that 3a1aPC has about 25% MWC. If we assume that each player has a 50% chance to win the game, then assigning .5% MWC to each of 3a 50 wins accounts for all of 3a 25% MWC. This implies that 3a has no gammon chances. That is obviously not the case.

Either this argument, or my previous argument is wrong. Quizz: Find the error in logic!!!!

Messages In This Thread

• Definition of 'Gammonish'?
  sebalotek -- Wednesday, 24 February 2016, at 1:19 p.m.
  • Definition of 'Gammonish'?
    phil simborg -- Wednesday, 24 February 2016, at 1:48 p.m.
    • Definition of 'Gammonish'?
      sebalotek -- Wednesday, 24 February 2016, at 2:54 p.m.
      • Definition of 'Gammonish'?
        Elena Evans -- Wednesday, 24 February 2016, at 4:45 p.m.
        • Definition of 'Gammonish'?
          Phil simborg -- Wednesday, 24 February 2016, at 4:49 p.m.
          • Definition of 'Gammonish'?
            alwoods -- Wednesday, 24 February 2016, at 6:27 p.m.
            • Definition of 'Gammonish'?
              Elena Evans -- Wednesday, 24 February 2016, at 6:55 p.m.
      • Definition of 'Gammonish'?
        Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 24 February 2016, at 5:12 p.m.
      • Definition of 'Gammonish'?
        sebalotek -- Wednesday, 24 February 2016, at 11:49 p.m.
        • Definition of 'Gammonish'?
          Casper Van der Tak -- Thursday, 25 February 2016, at 7:56 a.m.
          • Definition of 'Gammonish'?
            scotty -- Thursday, 25 February 2016, at 9:38 a.m.
            • Definition of 'Gammonish'?
              Casper Van der Tak -- Thursday, 25 February 2016, at 10:36 a.m.
              • Definition of 'Gammonish'?
                scotty -- Thursday, 25 February 2016, at 3:43 p.m.
              • Quizz: Find the error in logic
                scotty -- Thursday, 25 February 2016, at 4:10 p.m.
                • Quizz: Find the error in logic
                  Bob Koca -- Thursday, 25 February 2016, at 4:52 p.m.
                  • Quizz: Find the error in logic
                    scotty -- Thursday, 25 February 2016, at 10:22 p.m.
                    • Quizz: Find the error in logic
                      Bob Koca -- Thursday, 25 February 2016, at 10:34 p.m.
                      • Quizz: Find the error in logic
                        scotty -- Thursday, 25 February 2016, at 10:39 p.m.
                        • Quizz: Find the error in logic
                          Bob Koca -- Friday, 26 February 2016, at 1:25 a.m.
                          • Quizz: Find the error in logic
                            scotty -- Friday, 26 February 2016, at 12:36 p.m.
                • Quizz: Find the error in logic
                  Maik Stiebler -- Thursday, 25 February 2016, at 9:46 p.m.
                  • Quizz: Find the error in logic
                    scotty -- Thursday, 25 February 2016, at 10:32 p.m.
          • Definition of 'Gammonish'?
            sebalotek -- Thursday, 25 February 2016, at 9:02 p.m.
            • Definition of 'Gammonish'?
              Casper Van der Tak -- Thursday, 25 February 2016, at 9:12 p.m.
              • Definition of 'Gammonish'?
                Casper Van der Tak -- Thursday, 25 February 2016, at 9:12 p.m.
              • Definition of 'Gammonish'?
                sebalotek -- Tuesday, 1 March 2016, at 1:34 p.m.
                • Definition of 'Gammonish'?
                  Casper Van der Tak -- Tuesday, 1 March 2016, at 4:56 p.m.