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Rollout

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Thursday, 3 March 2016, at 1:03 a.m.

In Response To: Adjust your checker play ATS? (Timothy Chow)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 134
7 point match
pip: 123
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-aBCCBC---b----d-cb-B-b-:1:-1:1:65:4:0:0:7:10
Blue to play 65

1.Rollout122/11eq: +0.270
Player:
Opponent:		72.67% (G:24.44% B:4.11%)
27.33% (G:5.80% B:0.33%)		Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.261...+0.279) - [100.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 31 seconds
2.Rollout122/16 8/3* eq: +0.219 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:		73.02% (G:30.05% B:3.99%)
26.98% (G:8.95% B:1.05%)		Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.209...+0.229) - [0.0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 30 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

Cube decision before roll:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 134
7 point match
pip: 123
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-aBCCBC---b----d-cb-B-b-:0:0:1:00:4:0:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 75.97% (G:33.86% B:1.62%) 75.90% (G:33.62% B:4.19%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 24.03% (G:5.82% B:0.22%) 24.10% (G:5.61% B:0.53%)
Cubeless Equities +0.819 +1.367
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.814 (-0.026)±0.010 (+0.804..+0.825)
Double/Take:+0.841±0.018 (+0.823..+0.859)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.159)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:99.3%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 29 minutes 36 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

Unlimited:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 134
Unlimited Game
pip: 123
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-aBCCBC---b----d-cb-B-b-:1:-1:1:65:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 65

1.Rollout122/16 8/3* eq: +0.584
Player:
Opponent:		72.72% (G:31.07% B:1.36%)
27.28% (G:9.30% B:0.34%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.577...+0.592) - [100.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 30 seconds
2.Rollout122/11eq: +0.548 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		72.82% (G:23.58% B:1.62%)
27.18% (G:6.06% B:0.15%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.541...+0.555) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 48 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release

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