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Have you noticed this before?

Posted By: Alireza Saatchi
Date: Sunday, 6 March 2016, at 12:27 a.m.

Has anybody ever noticed, that on many scores, your non-zero gammon value equals your match equity assuming you have won a gammon!

I just mathematically derived that based on a certain assumption/approximation.

I wonder if anybody had heard or noticed that before?

That certain approximation I used is: assuming Your match equity equals O/(P+O), which is pretty close in scores less than 6-a,6-a. (P: player score-away. O: opponent score-away)

Have you ever noticed this one? If you have, have you ever tried to derive different values based on this approximation?

Well, I did and I derived all kinds useful formulas!

My favorite one is the Take Point! (with this formula you don't need MET data, you directly calculate your TP)

Dead Cube Take Point = P/2(O+P-1)

I hope you enjoyed it as much as I did!

P.S.

First timer here, please be gentle if I somehow made a fool of myself!

Messages In This Thread

• Have you noticed this before?
  Alireza Saatchi -- Sunday, 6 March 2016, at 12:27 a.m.
  • Have you noticed this before?
    Timothy Chow -- Monday, 7 March 2016, at 7:05 p.m.
    • Have you noticed this before?
      Chris Yep -- Tuesday, 8 March 2016, at 4:55 a.m.
      • Have you noticed this before?
        alireza saatchi -- Wednesday, 9 March 2016, at 4:33 a.m.
    • Have you noticed this before?
      Chris Yep -- Tuesday, 8 March 2016, at 1:21 p.m.
  • Have you noticed this before?
    Chris Yep -- Tuesday, 8 March 2016, at 1:33 p.m.
    • Have you noticed this before?
      Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 9 March 2016, at 12:22 a.m.
    • Have you noticed this before?
      alireza saatchi -- Wednesday, 9 March 2016, at 4:13 a.m.