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OLM 20160303A The Prime Factors Rollout

Posted By: Jason Lee
Date: Tuesday, 8 March 2016, at 12:43 p.m.

In Response To: OLM 20160303A The Prime Factors (Jason Lee)

Last vote

7
No Redouble
2
Redouble





White is The Dilly Builders

score: 8
pip: 121
11 point match
pip: 129
score: 6

Blue is The Prime Factors
XGID=aB-BABB--A---C--bcbeb--AA-:1:1:1:00:6:8:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 38.50% (G:9.56% B:0.30%) 38.71% (G:9.37% B:0.32%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 61.50% (G:14.35% B:1.41%) 61.29% (G:14.59% B:1.58%)
Cubeless Equities -0.218 -0.088
Cubeful Equities
played No redouble:+0.072±0.007 (+0.065..+0.079)
Redouble/Take:-0.088 (-0.161)±0.008 (-0.097..-0.080)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.928)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 12.9%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 95810085
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 2 hours 07 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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